Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) earnings on April 30, 2026
More Valero Energy Corporation earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
The stock opened lower but recovered to end slightly higher. It defied early negative sentiment to finish the day up.
VLO price around the earnings
252.51
Change: +0.4%
2026-04-30, 19:59 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
- Thesis published
Analysts cautious — risk outweighs reward.
While a supportive oil market and a history of strong earnings provide some tailwinds, the stock has recently declined. Concerns about potential supply disruptions and a recent analyst downgrade add to the uncertainty.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Analysts cautious — the risk-reward balance is unfavorable.
- Playbook
- Given the recent price decline, analyst downgrade, and supply risks, the scenario suggests a need for a clearer outlook.
- Trend
- Outlook deteriorating over past three sessions.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Negative
One prominent analyst firm downgraded the stock to an 'underperform' rating with a price target below current levels. Another major firm maintained a neutral rating, contributing to a pessimistic sentiment among analysts.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.16
- Analysts covering the stock
- 18
- Average price target
- 245.11
- Lowest price target
- 178
- Highest price target
- 292
- Upside to price target
- 5%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 303.6%
- Revenue growth
- -2.1%
- Forward EPS
- 17.3
- Trailing EPS
- 7.56
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 9
- Strong buy: 3
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 3
- Buy
- 7
- Hold
- 7
- Sell
- 1
- Strong sell
- 1
- April 21, 2026 · Wolfe Research: Downgrades rating (Peer Perform → Underperform)
- April 15, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- April 8, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 8, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 6, 2026 · BMO Capital: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- April 2, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- March 31, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- March 25, 2026 · Raymond James: Maintains rating (Strong Buy → Strong Buy)
- March 12, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
A recent downgrade from a respected analyst firm has created negative headlines. Mentions in the financial news have been neutral, resulting in an overall pessimistic sentiment.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (6)
- Wolfe Research Downgrades Valero Energy to Underperform, Announces $203 Price Target — Benzinga
- CNBC Halftime Report Final Trades: Capital One Financial, Broadcom, Alibaba Group, Valero Energy — Benzinga
- Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Valero Energy, Raises Price Target to $246 — Benzinga
- 'Valero Pulls Back on Mexican Oil After Texas Refinery Blast' - Bloomberg News — Benzinga
- Crude Fell, The Crack Spread Didn't: 6 Refiner Stocks To Watch This Earnings Season — Benzinga
- Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Valero Energy Stock In The Last 15 Years — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock has experienced a recent price decline, and its momentum indicators suggest a pessimistic trend. It is currently market review near a support level, indicating potential for further weakness.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 4.4%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -9.7%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -3.3%
- 30-day change
- +7.6%
- 30-day relative strength
- +3.8%
- Benchmark change
- +3.8%
- Nearest support
- 214.66
- Nearest resistance
- 258.3
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 1.01
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +38.2%
- January 29, 2026: actual EPS 3.82 vs estimate 3.27 (surprise +16.9%)
- October 23, 2025: actual EPS 3.66 vs estimate 3.05 (surprise +19.9%)
- July 24, 2025: actual EPS 2.28 vs estimate 1.77 (surprise +29.1%)
- April 24, 2025: actual EPS 0.89 vs estimate 0.48 (surprise +86.7%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 1.8%
- 75th percentile move
- 3.7%
- 90th percentile move
- 5%
- Up / down moves
- 7 / 12
- Average up move
- +3.8%
- Average down move
- -1.5%
Monitoring and close
What Valero Energy Corporation reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Partial
- Consolidated
- +0.4%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 2.7%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 0.6%