TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) earnings on May 5, 2026
More TransDigm Group Incorporated earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed
The stock climbed 3.68% after releasing earnings, moving upward from a position with no clear direction before the announcement.
TDG price around the earnings
1192.05
Change: +3.7%
2026-05-05, 19:59 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed
- Thesis published
Mixed momentum, weak relative performance, analysts cautiously optimistic.
Experts note mixed short-term momentum and weak relative performance, despite positive analyst price targets. The current environment suggests caution is warranted.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Mixed momentum, weak relative performance, analysts cautiously optimistic.
- Reasoning
- Experts note mixed short-term momentum and weak relative performance, despite positive analyst price targets. The current environment suggests a cautious scenario.
- Playbook
- Analysts point to an optimistic scenario, but the current technical weakness suggests a more favorable scenario may be prudent.
- Trend
- Trajectory remains weak-to-mixed, confirming prior caution.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Neutral
Analysts maintain a positive view with a considerably optimistic scenario to their price targets. However, recent analyst actions have been neutral, limiting the immediate positive influence on the stock.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.78
- Analysts covering the stock
- 21
- Average price target
- 1,537.14
- Lowest price target
- 1,200
- Highest price target
- 1,835
- Upside to price target
- 27.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -9.7%
- Revenue growth
- 13.9%
- Forward EPS
- 45.96
- Trailing EPS
- 31.11
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 1
- Strong buy: 4
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 4
- Buy
- 12
- Hold
- 7
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- April 1, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Initiates coverage (Equal-Weight)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Positive
Investor sentiment is mildly positive, with low market review volume suggesting a lack of excessive enthusiasm. The available news is neutral, indicating no strong immediate catalysts are driving the stock.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (1)
- Wells Fargo Initiates Coverage On TransDigm Group with Equal-Weight Rating, Announces Price Target of $1200 — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock's performance over the last 30 days has lagged the broader market significantly. This underperformance is a primary reason for the current cautious outlook.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.5%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -25.8%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +2.8%
- 30-day change
- -4.9%
- 30-day relative strength
- -8.7%
- Benchmark change
- +3.8%
- Nearest support
- 1,126.06
- Nearest resistance
- 1,302.19
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 1.04
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +0.7%
- February 3, 2026: actual EPS 8.23 vs estimate 8.04 (surprise +2.4%)
- November 12, 2025: actual EPS 7.75 vs estimate 7.63 (surprise +1.6%)
- August 5, 2025: actual EPS 9.6 vs estimate 9.9 (surprise -3.0%)
- May 6, 2025: actual EPS 9.11 vs estimate 8.95 (surprise +1.8%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 3.1%
- 75th percentile move
- 5.1%
- 90th percentile move
- 9.3%
- Up / down moves
- 10 / 9
- Average up move
- +3.7%
- Average down move
- -4.5%
Monitoring and close
What TransDigm Group Incorporated reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Missed
- Consolidated
- +3.7%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 0%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 7.3%