The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) earnings on August 19, 2026

Before the market opens Q2 2026

More The TJX Companies, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

TJX's stock was volatile after earnings, rising up to 2.9% before falling to a low of -5.9%. It closed down 4.2%, reflecting a negative market reaction.

TJX price around the earnings

144.50

Change: -4.2%

2026-08-19, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
142.78 146.59 150.39 154.20 150.85
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
August 19, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

Thesis published
Results released

Pessimistic outlook, trend weakening

Analysts see a pessimistic outlook: the stock's trend is weakening and the crowd is very pessimistic, despite a strong recent earnings history. The lack of analyst data adds uncertainty.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Pessimistic outlook, trend weakening
Playbook
The stock has been losing ground recently, underperforming the market. The crowd is extremely pessimistic, and analyst data is unavailable.
Trend
Outlook deteriorated sharply

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Neutral

    Analyst consensus data is unavailable, preventing a complete assessment of institutional expectations.

Evidence

Analyst moves in the last 60 days
0
  • Strong buy: 4
  • Buy: 16
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 1
Strong buy
4
Buy
16
Hold
1
Sell
0
Strong sell
1

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
High
Normalized volume
99%
News
Sources (5)

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Negative

    The stock has lost 2.29% over the past month and is underperforming the S&P 500 by 5.53%, indicating structural headwinds.

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
150.94
Average true range (ATR)
1.9%
Distance to 52-week high
-10.1%
14-day change (14d)
-4.2%
30-day change (32d)
-2.3%
30-day relative strength
-5.5%
SPY change (32d)
+3.2%
Nearest support
150.19
Distance to nearest support
0.5%
Nearest resistance
151.58
Distance to nearest resistance
0.4%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.87
  • Mid: 150.19 (0.5% away, 0.26 ATR, 22 touches)
  • Minor: 148.95 (1.3% away, 0.69 ATR, 9 touches)
  • Minor: 148.03 (1.9% away, 1.01 ATR, 9 touches)
  • Mid: 151.58 (0.4% away, 0.22 ATR, 20 touches)
  • Major: 152.39 (1% away, 0.51 ATR, 35 touches)
  • Major: 153.55 (1.7% away, 0.9 ATR, 49 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+11.2%
  • May 20, 2026: actual EPS 1.19 vs estimate 1.02 (surprise +17.2%)
  • February 25, 2026: actual EPS 1.58 vs estimate 1.38 (surprise +14.1%)
  • November 19, 2025: actual EPS 1.28 vs estimate 1.22 (surprise +5.0%)
  • August 20, 2025: actual EPS 1.1 vs estimate 1.01 (surprise +8.4%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Positive

    The company has beaten earnings expectations in recent quarters, with an average surprise of +11.2%, showing consistent historical outperformance.

Implied move
+3.1%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
3.1%
75th percentile move
5.2%
90th percentile move
5.8%
Up / down moves
15 / 5
Average up move
+3.5%
Average down move
-2.7%

Monitoring and close

What The TJX Companies, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS1.22
EPS estimate1.19
EPS surprise+2.5%
Revenue$15,180 million
Revenue estimate$15,167 million
Revenue surprise+0.1%

TJX beat expectations and raised annual guidance, but weak U.S. sales sparked pessimism. The company keeps optimism with its 7,500-store target.

Sources (27)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, and the price is indicating -4.6% pre-market, a move above the stock's usual reaction (about 3%). The figures confirm the pessimistic scenario. In the 721 similar cases in our market history, the close held that direction 87% of the time.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Accurate
Consolidated
-4.2%
Max favorable move (MFE)
5.9%
Max adverse move (MAE)
2.9%