The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) earnings on May 20, 2026

Before the market opens Q1 2026

More The TJX Companies, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate

TJX shares climbed significantly after its earnings report. The higher earnings forecast for the year and an increased share buyback program were factors in the optimistic scenario.

TJX price around the earnings

158.76

Change: +5.4%

2026-05-21, 00:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
150.00 153.50 157.00 160.50 150.68
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
May 20, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate

Thesis published

Strong analyst conviction, but negative momentum.

Analysts are strongly recommending this stock with a high price target, and it has a perfect history of beating earnings. However, the stock's recent price decline and negative momentum suggest a pessimistic scenario.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Strong earnings history, analyst support, but facing technical headwinds.
Reasoning
Analysts are confident in TJX's ability to keep beating earnings expectations, and a recent upgrade adds to this positive view. However, the stock's recent price movements show it's struggling to gain ground and is currently stuck in a narrow market review range.
Playbook
This is a stock with solid fundamentals that might be waiting for a technical breakout. The price action near resistance is a key factor if it overcomes current limitations.
Trend
Recent stabilization after sharp score decline.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Positive

    Most analysts maintain a buy rating, with a price target cited above the current price. A recent upgrade further supports the view.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Strong buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.43
Analysts covering the stock
19
Average price target
172.37
Lowest price target
107
Highest price target
193
Upside to price target
14.4%
Quarterly earnings growth
26.8%
Revenue growth
8.5%
Forward EPS
5.68
Trailing EPS
4.87
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
2
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 16
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
16
Hold
1
Sell
1
Strong sell
0
  • May 18, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • May 18, 2026 · Truist Securities: Initiates coverage (Buy → Buy)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Positive

    A recent analyst upgrade and positive adjustments to expectations are supporting a favorable view of the stock.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (4)
  • Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp TJX Expectations Ahead Of Q1 Earnings — Benzinga
  • JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on TJX Companies, Raises Price Target to $174 — Benzinga
  • Truist Securities Initiates Coverage On TJX Companies with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $175 — Benzinga
  • $1000 Invested In TJX Companies 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Negative

    The stock's recent price performance has been negative, and it is market review within a tight range. This suggests a limited optimistic scenario in the near term.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2.1%
Distance to 52-week high
-9.1%
14-day change (14d)
-3.5%
30-day change (30d)
-4.4%
30-day relative strength
-4.4%
Benchmark change (0d)
+0.0%
Nearest support
150.06
Nearest resistance
150.88
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
1.88

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+4.3%
  • February 25, 2026: actual EPS 1.43 vs estimate 1.39 (surprise +3.1%)
  • November 19, 2025: actual EPS 1.28 vs estimate 1.22 (surprise +5.0%)
  • August 20, 2025: actual EPS 1.1 vs estimate 1.01 (surprise +8.4%)
  • May 21, 2025: actual EPS 0.92 vs estimate 0.91 (surprise +0.8%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Positive

    The company has a strong recent record of beating earnings expectations. This consistent outperformance shows strong execution.

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
3%
75th percentile move
4.6%
90th percentile move
5.8%
Up / down moves
14 / 5
Average up move
+3.3%
Average down move
-2.7%

Monitoring and close

What The TJX Companies, Inc. reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Accurate
Consolidated
+5.7%
Max favorable move (MFE)
6.6%
Max adverse move (MAE)
0%