Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) earnings on August 5, 2026
More Texas Pacific Land Corporation earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
Texas Pacific Land's stock swung wildly after its quarterly report, briefly rising over 6% before closing down about 6.6% as the numbers disappointed.
TPL price around the earnings
355.64
Change: -6.9%
2026-08-06, 20:00 UTC
Start of the measured window
End of the measured window
347.06
364.71
382.35
400.00
381.90
August 5, 2026
August 6, 2026
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
- Results released
Deteriorating company numbers with poor earnings history and negative trend strength, masked by retail euphoria.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Trajectory deteriorated from -31.4 to -98.7; accelerating negative trend strength with extreme retail optimism into event.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analysts covering the stock
- 2
- Average price target
- 443.5
- Lowest price target
- 248
- Highest price target
- 639
- Upside to price target
- 16.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 18.4%
- Revenue growth
- 20.8%
- Forward EPS
- 73.12
- Trailing EPS
- 7.35
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 0
- Strong buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 1
- Hold
- 0
- Sell
- 1
- Strong sell
- 0
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- High
- Normalized volume
- 99%
News
There is no news coverage available for this event.
Technicals
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 396.98
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.6%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -29.2%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -5.2%
- 30-day change (33d)
- -2.5%
- 30-day relative strength
- -6.0%
- SPY change (33d)
- +3.5%
- Nearest support
- 395.19
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.5%
- Nearest resistance
- 401.04
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 1%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.72
- Mid: 395.19 (0.5% away, 0.12 ATR, 27 touches)
- Mid: 389.56 (1.9% away, 0.51 ATR, 24 touches)
- Major: 386.45 (2.7% away, 0.73 ATR, 28 touches)
- Major: 401.04 (1% away, 0.28 ATR, 21 touches)
- Major: 406.56 (2.4% away, 0.66 ATR, 45 touches)
- Mid: 409.86 (3.2% away, 0.89 ATR, 21 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -21.0%
- May 6, 2026: actual EPS 2.07 vs estimate 2.02 (surprise +2.5%)
- February 18, 2026: actual EPS 1.79 vs estimate 3.6 (surprise -50.2%)
- November 5, 2025: actual EPS 1.76 vs estimate 1.92 (surprise -8.7%)
- August 6, 2025: actual EPS 1.68 vs estimate 2.32 (surprise -27.4%)
Expected move
- Implied move
- +2.8%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 17 earnings
- Median move
- 6.2%
- 75th percentile move
- 9.6%
- 90th percentile move
- 10.3%
- Up / down moves
- 11 / 6
- Average up move
- +6.3%
- Average down move
- -7.1%
Monitoring and close
What Texas Pacific Land Corporation reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 2.23 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 2.18 |
| EPS surprise | +2.1% |
Texas Pacific beat earnings and revenue estimates in Q2, though sales rose 31.2%. The outlook remains pessimistic.
Sources (6)
- Texas Pacific Land (NYSE:TPL) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q2 CY2026 Earnings (opens in a new tab) — StockStory
- Texas Pacific Land (NYSE:TPL) Misses Q2 Revenue Estimates Despite Record Royalty Production (opens in a new tab) — ChartMill
- Texas Pacific (TPL) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Texas Pacific Land Q2 EPS $2.23 Misses $2.25 Estimate, Sales $246.100M Miss $254.000M Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Texas Pacific Land Corporation Announces Second Quarter Results (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo
- Earnings per share: $2.23 vs $2.18 expected — above expectations. — Yahoo Finance
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -6.6%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 9.3%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 6.3%