Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) earnings on May 6, 2026
More Texas Pacific Land Corporation earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
The stock jumped as much as 8% during the market review day after earnings were released, but then fell and closed about 5% lower.
TPL price around the earnings
401.00
Change: -4.7%
2026-05-07, 23:22 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
Strong negative outlook, price likely to fall.
This company has been performing much worse than the market, missing its earnings targets consistently. There are no upcoming events or news expected to help turn things around.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Strong negative outlook, the scenario reads pessimistic.
- Playbook
- The consistent underperformance and lack of positive news present a challenging scenario. The company's outlook is unfavorable compared to peers with more positive recent developments.
- Trend
- Severe sell-off into earnings, weak bounce.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analysts covering the stock
- 2
- Average price target
- 445.5
- Lowest price target
- 252
- Highest price target
- 639
- Upside to price target
- 7.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 4.2%
- Revenue growth
- 13.9%
- Forward EPS
- 73.12
- Trailing EPS
- 6.97
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 0
- Strong buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 1
- Hold
- 0
- Sell
- 1
- Strong sell
- 0
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Neutral
There are no significant news items or events expected that could positively influence the stock price. Current news does not offer any support against the negative price action.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (1)
- If You Invested $1000 In Texas Pacific Land Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock has significantly underperformed the market over the last month. This suggests strong negative price movement compared to the broader market.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.4%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -24.0%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -1.6%
- 30-day change
- -21.5%
- 30-day relative strength
- -33.6%
- Benchmark change
- +12.0%
- Nearest support
- 370.64
- Nearest resistance
- 541.47
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 0.56
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -23.4%
- February 18, 2026: actual EPS 1.79 vs estimate 3.6 (surprise -50.2%)
- November 5, 2025: actual EPS 1.76 vs estimate 1.92 (surprise -8.7%)
- August 6, 2025: actual EPS 1.68 vs estimate 2.32 (surprise -27.4%)
- August 7, 2024: actual EPS 1.66 vs estimate 1.79 (surprise -7.1%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Negative
The company has a history of missing earnings expectations. Historically, earnings reports have tended to be disappointing.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 16 earnings
- Median move
- 6.9%
- 75th percentile move
- 9.8%
- 90th percentile move
- 10.3%
- Up / down moves
- 11 / 5
- Average up move
- +6.3%
- Average down move
- -7.5%
Monitoring and close
What Texas Pacific Land Corporation reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -5.1%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 5.6%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 7.7%