Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) earnings on April 30, 2026

Q1 2026

More Smurfit Westrock Plc earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

The stock fell sharply during the day, dropping as much as 7.54% before recovering somewhat to close down 3.25%.

SW price around the earnings

38.39

Change: -3.3%

2026-04-30, 19:59 UTC

Start of the measured window
36.38 37.53 38.67 39.82 39.68
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
April 30, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

Thesis published

Analysts optimistic, but caution is indicated due to recent cuts.

Experts maintain a positive outlook with a strong buy consensus, but recent price target reductions and underperformance suggest caution is indicated.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Analysts hold an optimistic view; recent cuts suggest a cautious reading of the scenario.
Reasoning
Experts maintain an optimistic outlook with a strong buy consensus, but recent price target reductions and underperformance suggest a more cautious reading is appropriate.
Playbook
Recent performance and target reductions indicate potential headwinds; the scenario suggests waiting for a clearer trend or a more favorable reference point.
Trend
Outlook remained fragile despite an optimistic consensus.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Positive

    There is a strong buy consensus among analysts, with a price target of $55, about 32.8% above current levels. This consensus is maintained by 14 analyst opinions, even with recent target reductions.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Strong buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.33
Analysts covering the stock
14
Average price target
54.75
Lowest price target
46
Highest price target
64
Upside to price target
32.8%
Quarterly earnings growth
-33.6%
Revenue growth
0.5%
Forward EPS
3.12
Trailing EPS
1.33
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
6
  • Strong buy: 5
  • Buy: 10
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
5
Buy
10
Hold
0
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • April 15, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • April 14, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • April 13, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • April 1, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • March 20, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • March 6, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Negative

    Major banks have lowered their price targets, suggesting that near-term expectations have been tempered. There are no recent positive news events in the data.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Neutral
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (3)
  • Citigroup Maintains Buy on Smurfit WestRock, Lowers Price Target to $53 — Benzinga
  • UBS Maintains Buy on Smurfit WestRock, Lowers Price Target to $56 — Benzinga
  • Barclays Maintains Overweight on Smurfit WestRock, Lowers Price Target to $54 — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Negative

    The stock has underperformed the broader market over the last 30 days, showing weak momentum. Its current price is near a support level but far from resistance, indicating a lack of upward movement.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
3.4%
Distance to 52-week high
-21.7%
14-day change (14d)
+2.7%
30-day change
-3.6%
30-day relative strength
-7.4%
Benchmark change
+3.8%
Nearest support
36.01
Nearest resistance
43.42
Volume accumulation ratio
0.54

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
-14.8%
  • February 11, 2026: actual EPS 0.28 vs estimate 0.5 (surprise -43.0%)
  • October 29, 2025: actual EPS 0.58 vs estimate 0.72 (surprise -19.8%)
  • July 30, 2025: actual EPS 0.51 vs estimate 0.59 (surprise -13.9%)
  • May 1, 2025: actual EPS 0.73 vs estimate 0.62 (surprise +17.5%)

Monitoring and close

What Smurfit Westrock Plc reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Accurate
Consolidated
-3.3%
Max favorable move (MFE)
7.5%
Max adverse move (MAE)
0%