NIKE, Inc. (NKE) earnings on June 30, 2026
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
Volatly's outlook before the earnings on June 30, 2026: No statistical edge.
NKE price around the earnings
There is no candle series available for this event.
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Analysts cautious, price targets cut, negative outlook.
Nike's recent preliminary Q4 results have disappointed investors, showing negative earnings and weaker future guidance. Analysts have responded by cutting price targets, reflecting a cautious outlook despite the company's strong historical performance.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Analysts cautious, price targets cut, negative outlook.
- Playbook
- The stock experienced a negative catalyst with its Q4 preliminary results, which led to downward revisions in earnings and future guidance. This has been followed by persistent negative price momentum.
- Trend
- Analyst sentiment and price targets have deteriorated.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Negative
Following the preliminary Q4 results, analysts have lowered their price targets, some even to $47. This reflects a generally negative view, even though the average target remains higher.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.47
- Analysts covering the stock
- 33
- Average price target
- 55.22
- Lowest price target
- 23
- Highest price target
- 97
- Upside to price target
- 33.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -34.5%
- Revenue growth
- 0.1%
- Forward EPS
- 1.79
- Trailing EPS
- 1.52
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 10
- Strong buy: 1
- Buy: 11
- Hold: 24
- Sell: 1
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 1
- Buy
- 11
- Hold
- 24
- Sell
- 1
- Strong sell
- 1
- June 29, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- June 26, 2026 · Deutsche Bank: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
- June 26, 2026 · Oppenheimer: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- June 26, 2026 · Keybanc: Downgrades rating (Overweight → Sector Weight)
- June 25, 2026 · BTIG: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- June 23, 2026 · BNP Paribas: Reiterates rating (Underperform → Underperform)
- June 23, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- June 23, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Downgrades rating (Outperform → In-Line)
- June 10, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- June 10, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
The company's preliminary Q4 results, released on June 23rd, served as a negative trigger. This event resulted in poor quarterly earnings and a weaker outlook for the future.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (7)
- Nike In The Spotlight Ahead Of Q4 Earnings — Benzinga
- Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Futures Gain As Trump Demands Lower Gas Prices 'Immediately'— Vishay Intertechnology, AeroVironment, Nike In Focus (UPDATED) — Benzinga
- Earnings Scheduled For June 30, 2026 — Benzinga
- Nike, Constellation Brands And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Tuesday — Benzinga
- Nike Q4 Preview: Stock At 11-Year Lows, Market Expert Says More Pain Ahead — ‘May Have To Wait Much Longer’ — Benzinga
- JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Nike, Lowers Price Target to $47 — Benzinga
- Earnings Volatility Watch: Nike And 5 Stocks With The Biggest Implied Moves This Week — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The asset's momentum has been consistently negative over the past 14 and 30 days. This indicates a downward trend following the recent news.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.2%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -46.5%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -4.1%
- 30-day change (30d)
- -1.3%
- 30-day relative strength
- -1.3%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 41.34
- Nearest resistance
- 41.84
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.08
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +40.3%
- March 31, 2026: actual EPS 0.35 vs estimate 0.28 (surprise +24.3%)
- December 18, 2025: actual EPS 0.53 vs estimate 0.38 (surprise +41.3%)
- September 30, 2025: actual EPS 0.49 vs estimate 0.27 (surprise +81.3%)
- June 26, 2025: actual EPS 0.14 vs estimate 0.12 (surprise +14.2%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
Historically, Nike has a strong track record of exceeding earnings expectations. The company has consistently beaten estimates, with an average surprise of over 40%.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 6.8%
- 75th percentile move
- 12%
- 90th percentile move
- 15.3%
- Up / down moves
- 6 / 13
- Average up move
- +8.2%
- Average down move
- -8.5%
Monitoring and close
What NIKE, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.