Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) earnings on May 28, 2026
More Dollar Tree, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate
Dollar Tree stock rallied strongly after reporting increased sales and raising its future earnings forecast. This positive news led to a significant increase in the stock's value.
DLTR price around the earnings
113.25
Change: +18.1%
2026-05-28, 23:59 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
Sales up, guidance raised; recent negative price trend.
The company reported increased sales and raised its earnings forecast for the year, which is positive. However, the stock has recently experienced negative price movement.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- The scenario is optimistic, but negative momentum is a factor.
- Reasoning
- Analysts cite a significant price target, supported by a strong history of beating earnings expectations. However, recent price action shows negative momentum, and some analysts have tempered their price targets.
- Playbook
- Strong analyst targets and earnings history are factors, but recent negative price trends and resistance levels are also relevant.
- Trend
- Improving momentum after recent selloff.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
The average price target from analysts indicates a substantial potential increase in the stock's price. Most analysts currently recommend holding the stock.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Hold
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.7
- Analysts covering the stock
- 23
- Average price target
- 122.26
- Lowest price target
- 75
- Highest price target
- 165
- Upside to price target
- 27.5%
- Revenue growth
- 9%
- Forward EPS
- 7.36
- Trailing EPS
- 5.94
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 5
- Strong buy: 3
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 3
- Strong sell: 3
- Strong buy
- 3
- Buy
- 7
- Hold
- 11
- Sell
- 3
- Strong sell
- 3
- May 27, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- May 27, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- May 26, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- May 22, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- April 21, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (In-Line → In-Line)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
Some analysts have recently lowered their price targets for the stock, suggesting a degree of caution despite the overall positive outlook.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Neutral
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (3)
- Truist Securities Maintains Buy on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $107 — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $131 — Benzinga
- Piper Sandler Maintains Neutral on Dollar Tree, Lowers Price Target to $101 — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock's price movement has been weak recently, showing declines over the last 14 and 30 days. It is currently market review near a price level that has previously acted as resistance.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 4.1%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -32.7%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -0.6%
- 30-day change (30d)
- -4.7%
- 30-day relative strength
- -4.7%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 95.1
- Nearest resistance
- 95.96
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.52
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +26.3%
- March 16, 2026: actual EPS 2.56 vs estimate 2.53 (surprise +1.1%)
- December 3, 2025: actual EPS 1.21 vs estimate 1.08 (surprise +11.8%)
- September 3, 2025: actual EPS 0.77 vs estimate 0.41 (surprise +87.7%)
- June 4, 2025: actual EPS 1.26 vs estimate 1.21 (surprise +4.5%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
The company has consistently exceeded earnings expectations over the past year. The average surprise has been quite significant, indicating strong performance.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 8.4%
- 75th percentile move
- 12%
- 90th percentile move
- 15.7%
- Up / down moves
- 9 / 10
- Average up move
- +5.8%
- Average down move
- -11.3%
Monitoring and close
What Dollar Tree, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- +17.9%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 20.3%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 0%