CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) earnings on May 6, 2026
More CF Industries Holdings, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
CF shares experienced a small drop after earnings. The stock closed down less than 1%.
CF price around the earnings
119.30
Change: -0.4%
2026-05-07, 23:59 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
- Thesis published
Neutral outlook, limited upside potential.
Analysts currently hold a neutral stance on the stock, with minimal expected upside and mixed past performance. While some recent news is positive, the overall outlook suggests caution.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Neutral scenario, limited potential.
- Reasoning
- Analysts currently hold a neutral stance on the stock, with limited expected potential and mixed past performance. While some recent news is positive, the overall outlook suggests caution.
- Playbook
- The neutral analyst view and mixed contexts suggest waiting for a clearer trend. Significant new investments would be premature until the outlook becomes more defined.
- Trend
- Mixed momentum, analysts neutral.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Neutral
The consensus among analysts is to 'hold' the stock, with a price target that points to a limited upside scenario. This suggests a lack of strong conviction.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Hold
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 3
- Analysts covering the stock
- 19
- Average price target
- 120.95
- Lowest price target
- 86
- Highest price target
- 150
- Upside to price target
- 0.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 23.2%
- Revenue growth
- 22.8%
- Forward EPS
- 9.3
- Trailing EPS
- 8.98
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 10
- Strong buy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 2
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 1
- Buy
- 2
- Hold
- 15
- Sell
- 2
- Strong sell
- 1
- April 30, 2026 · CIBC: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- April 27, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 20, 2026 · Scotiabank: Maintains rating (Sector Perform → Sector Perform)
- April 17, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 14, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- April 8, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- March 31, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Underperform → Underperform)
- March 26, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- March 18, 2026 · B of A Securities: Maintains rating (Underperform → Underperform)
- March 18, 2026 · BMO Capital: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Positive
There have been a couple of recent analyst price target increases and a new CFO appointment. These events provide a slightly more positive backdrop, but do not change the overall neutral view.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (7)
- CF Industries Appoints Andrew T. Scribner CFO, Effective May 26 — Benzinga
- CIBC Maintains Neutral on CF Industries Holdings, Raises Price Target to $128 — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on CF Industries Holdings, Raises Price Target to $145 — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on CF Industries Holdings, Raises Price Target to $130 — Benzinga
- Goldman Sachs Maintains Neutral on CF Industries Holdings, Raises Price Target to $132 — Benzinga
- Live On CNBC, Joe Terranova Announces Sold CF Industries — Benzinga
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on CF Industries Holdings, Raises Price Target to $135 — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock has underperformed the broader market over the last month, indicating a potential downward trend. Recent price action suggests weakness.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 4.5%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -15.0%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +7.3%
- 30-day change
- -5.6%
- 30-day relative strength
- -17.7%
- Benchmark change
- +12.1%
- Nearest support
- 109.8
- Nearest resistance
- 141.75
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 0.79
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +13.0%
- February 18, 2026: actual EPS 3.06 vs estimate 2.47 (surprise +23.9%)
- November 5, 2025: actual EPS 2.17 vs estimate 2.17 (surprise -0.2%)
- August 6, 2025: actual EPS 2.39 vs estimate 2.47 (surprise -3.4%)
- May 7, 2025: actual EPS 1.98 vs estimate 1.5 (surprise +31.6%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 2%
- 75th percentile move
- 4.1%
- 90th percentile move
- 5.8%
- Up / down moves
- 13 / 6
- Average up move
- +2.3%
- Average down move
- -4.0%
Monitoring and close
What CF Industries Holdings, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Partial
- Consolidated
- -0.9%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 5.2%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 0.3%