Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) earnings on August 27, 2026
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
The stock rose early but fell sharply by the close. Even though cloud sales were stronger than expected, investors worried about the company's cost outlook.
ADSK price around the earnings
260.66
Change: -3.7%
2026-08-28, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
- Results released
Strong analyst support but the scenario points neutral
Analysts have upgraded the stock with a higher price target, and the company has a strong recent record of beating earnings expectations. However, the stock has already rallied significantly ahead of earnings, which means much of the good news may already be reflected in the current price.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Strong analyst support but the scenario points neutral
- Playbook
- The stock has gained about 20% over the past 30 days and cases near its 52-week high at $270.64, above the $255.40 resistance level. The average analyst price target points to an optimistic scenario, and the company has beaten earnings expectations in all 4 recent quarters.
- Trend
- Rally moderated into earnings, expectations high
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Baird upgraded to Outperform with $325 target (up from prior); strong_buy mean 1.50, 34 analysts covering.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Strong buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.5
- Analysts covering the stock
- 34
- Average price target
- 314.57
- Lowest price target
- 220.5
- Highest price target
- 456
- Upside to price target
- 16.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 223%
- Revenue growth
- 18.4%
- Forward EPS
- 14.23
- Trailing EPS
- 6.85
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 5
- Strong buy: 6
- Buy: 24
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 6
- Buy
- 24
- Hold
- 6
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- August 21, 2026 · Baird: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- August 20, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- August 20, 2026 · Guggenheim: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- August 11, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Initiates coverage (Sell → Neutral)
- July 23, 2026 · Guggenheim: Initiates coverage (Buy)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- High
- Normalized volume
- 99%
News
Sources (6)
- Autodesk Likely To Report Higher Q2 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Baird Maintains Outperform on Autodesk, Raises Price Target to $325 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Autodesk, Raises Price Target to $269 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Autodesk, Raises Price Target to $277 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage On Autodesk with Neutral Rating, Announces Price Target of $260 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Stock of the Day: Where Will the Autodesk Rally End? (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
Price $270.64 above resistance $255.40, near 52w high; IV 2.1250 implies 11.12% move.
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 254.77
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.2%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -17.5%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +2.1%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +12.8%
- 30-day relative strength
- +8.5%
- QQQ change (30d)
- +4.3%
- Nearest support
- 253.98
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.3%
- Nearest resistance
- 255.4
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0.3%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.56
- Mid: 253.98 (0.3% away, 0.1 ATR, 15 touches)
- Major: 252.5 (0.9% away, 0.28 ATR, 34 touches)
- Major: 250.16 (1.8% away, 0.56 ATR, 42 touches)
- Major: 255.4 (0.3% away, 0.08 ATR, 30 touches)
- Major: 256.95 (0.9% away, 0.26 ATR, 27 touches)
- Major: 259.46 (1.8% away, 0.57 ATR, 25 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +6.7%
- May 28, 2026: actual EPS 2.99 vs estimate 2.84 (surprise +5.2%)
- February 26, 2026: actual EPS 2.85 vs estimate 2.64 (surprise +7.8%)
- November 25, 2025: actual EPS 2.67 vs estimate 2.5 (surprise +6.9%)
- August 28, 2025: actual EPS 2.62 vs estimate 2.45 (surprise +7.0%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
100% beat rate over 4 quarters, avg surprise +6.7% — consistent execution.
- Implied move
- +11.1%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 3.6%
- 75th percentile move
- 8.6%
- 90th percentile move
- 10.8%
- Up / down moves
- 11 / 9
- Average up move
- +3.2%
- Average down move
- -7.7%
Monitoring and close
What Autodesk, Inc. reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 3.3 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 3.12 |
| EPS surprise | +5.6% |
Autodesk reported second-quarter results that beat expectations. The company raised its FY2027 sales guidance. Third-quarter adjusted earnings guidance came in slightly below estimates.
Sources (16)
- Autodesk Q2 Earnings Call Highlights (opens in a new tab) — MarketBeat
- Full Transcript: Autodesk Q2 2027 Earnings Call (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Autodesk (ADSK) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Autodesk (ADSK) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Autodesk Shares Slip as Q3 EPS Guidance Comes in Below Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Gap, Workday, Autodesk stocks moving on Q2 earnings results (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo Finance Video
- Autodesk falls on fiscal 2027 guidance concerns (opens in a new tab) — Investing.com
- Autodesk’s Profit Outlook Falls Short Despite Earnings Beat (opens in a new tab) — Barrons.com
- Autodesk’s (NASDAQ:ADSK) Q2 CY2026 Sales Top Estimates, Full-Year Outlook Slightly Exceeds Expectations (opens in a new tab) — StockStory
- Autodesk Narrows FY2027 Adj EPS Guidance from $12.40-$12.65 to $12.52-$12.60 vs $12.60 Est; Raises FY2027 Sales Guidance from $8.155B-$8.215B to $8.575B-$8.650B vs $8.206B Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Autodesk Widens FY2027 GAAP EPS Guidance from $8.07-$8.63 to $7.89-$8.72 vs $8.44 Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Autodesk Sees Q3 Adj EPS $3.04-$3.09 vs $3.14 Est; Sees Sales $2.125B-$2.140B vs $2.082B Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Autodesk Q2 Adj. EPS $3.30 Beats $3.12 Estimate, Sales $2.046B Beat $2.012B Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Autodesk Sees Q3 GAAP EPS $1.57-$1.87 vs $2.16 Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Autodesk, Inc. 2027 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (opens in a new tab) — SeekingAlpha
- Earnings per share: $3.30 vs $3.12 expected — above expectations. — Yahoo Finance + Finnhub
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Consolidated
- -3.7%
- Max move
- -8.3%
No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.