Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) earnings on May 28, 2026
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
Autodesk's stock price dropped after earnings due to mixed investor reactions. Concerns about a recent deal outweighed analyst support, causing the shares to fall.
ADSK price around the earnings
231.57
Change: -3.8%
2026-05-30, 00:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Optimistic but fragile outlook, the scenario suggests headwinds.
Analysts remain very optimistic about the stock's future price, supported by a strong history of beating earnings expectations. However, some recent price target reductions and institutional selling suggest potential challenges ahead.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Optimistic but fragile outlook, headwinds are a key factor.
- Reasoning
- Analysts remain very optimistic about the stock's scenario, supported by a strong history of beating earnings expectations. However, some recent price target reductions and institutional selling suggest potential challenges ahead.
- Playbook
- While the outlook is positive, a cautious approach is warranted due to recent price target cuts and institutional selling. The scenario may require clearer upward momentum before a more optimistic reading.
- Trend
- Optimistic but fragile, institutional headwinds persist.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Most analysts maintain a strong buy rating, with price targets citing significant potential for an optimistic scenario.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Strong buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.36
- Analysts covering the stock
- 32
- Average price target
- 323.49
- Lowest price target
- 246
- Highest price target
- 456
- Upside to price target
- 34.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 4.3%
- Revenue growth
- 19.4%
- Forward EPS
- 14.11
- Trailing EPS
- 5.24
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 5
- Strong buy: 6
- Buy: 24
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 6
- Buy
- 24
- Hold
- 3
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- May 26, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- May 21, 2026 · Keybanc: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- May 13, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 15, 2026 · Jefferies: Initiates coverage (Buy)
- April 10, 2026 · Citigroup: Downgrades rating (Buy → Neutral)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
Some influential analysts have recently lowered their price targets for the stock. This indicates a more cautious view from certain market participants.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (8)
- Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp Autodesk Expectations Ahead Of Q1 Earnings — Benzinga
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on Autodesk, Lowers Price Target to $315 — Benzinga
- Keybanc Maintains Overweight on Autodesk, Lowers Price Target to $341 — Benzinga
- Starboard Value Sells Position In Autodesk; Fluor Corporation; Salesforce. — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on Autodesk, Lowers Price Target to $300 — Benzinga
- B of A Securities Reinstates Buy on Autodesk, Announces $300 Price Target — Benzinga
- Michael Burry Reports Sold Positions In Salesforce And Autodesk At Small Profits — Benzinga
- Autodesk Launches Autodesk For Small Business, A New Global Initiative Focused On Delivering For Small Businesses Across Design And Make Industries; Co To Remove 100 Flex Token Minimum Purchase Requirement — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Neutral
The stock's price movement has been mixed recently. There isn't a strong technical context indicating a clear upward or downward trend at the moment.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.2%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -27.0%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -2.5%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +3.7%
- 30-day relative strength
- +3.7%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 236.46
- Nearest resistance
- 238.02
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.63
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +7.1%
- February 26, 2026: actual EPS 2.85 vs estimate 2.64 (surprise +7.8%)
- November 25, 2025: actual EPS 2.67 vs estimate 2.5 (surprise +6.9%)
- August 28, 2025: actual EPS 2.62 vs estimate 2.45 (surprise +7.0%)
- May 22, 2025: actual EPS 2.29 vs estimate 2.15 (surprise +6.7%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
The company has consistently met or exceeded earnings expectations for the past four quarters. This shows reliable operational performance.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 3.1%
- 75th percentile move
- 8.7%
- 90th percentile move
- 11.1%
- Up / down moves
- 11 / 8
- Average up move
- +3.2%
- Average down move
- -8.1%
Monitoring and close
What Autodesk, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Consolidated
- -4.2%
- Max move
- -9.8%
No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.