Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) earnings on May 6, 2026

Q1 2026

More Apollo Global Management, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

The stock price initially rose but then fell after earnings. While profits met expectations, sales were lower than outlined.

APO price around the earnings

129.53

Change: -0.8%

2026-05-06, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
128.95 131.30 133.64 135.99 130.63
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
May 6, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Thesis published

Revenue miss overshadows earnings beat; outlook uncertain.

The company met earnings expectations but missed on revenue, causing a negative reaction despite strong prior performance. Analysts still see some upside, but the revenue miss is a concern.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Revenue miss overshadows earnings beat; outlook uncertain.
Reasoning
The company met earnings expectations but missed on revenue, causing a negative reaction despite strong prior performance. Analysts still point to an optimistic scenario, but the revenue miss is a concern.
Playbook
The revenue miss introduces risk; the scenario suggests waiting for clarity on future performance.
Trend
Strong run-up into earnings, now facing sell-off post-revenue miss.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Positive

    Analysts generally maintain a positive outlook with high price targets, but the recent revenue miss may challenge these views.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.8
Analysts covering the stock
17
Average price target
138.35
Lowest price target
108
Highest price target
173
Upside to price target
5.2%
Quarterly earnings growth
-54%
Revenue growth
87.7%
Forward EPS
10.62
Trailing EPS
5.54
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
6
  • Strong buy: 4
  • Buy: 9
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
4
Buy
9
Hold
6
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • April 21, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • April 21, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
  • April 8, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • April 7, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • April 7, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • March 24, 2026 · BMO Capital: Maintains rating (Market Perform → Market Perform)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Negative

    The company reported earnings in line with expectations, but revenue fell short, creating a negative event for the stock.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (4)
  • Apollo Global Management Q1 Adj. EPS $1.94, Inline, Sales $5.059B Miss $5.321B Estimate — Benzinga
  • Apollo, Digital Realty Trust And Archer-Daniels-Midland On CNBC's 'Final Trades' — Benzinga
  • CNBC Halftime Report Final Trades: Apollo Global Management, Archer-Daniels-Midland, Digital Realty Trust — Benzinga
  • 'Apollo, Blackstone And KKR Vie For Shell Stake In LNG Canada, sources say' - Reuters Exclusive — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Positive

    The stock experienced a significant optimistic trend before the earnings announcement, outperforming the market.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
3.1%
Distance to 52-week high
-16.4%
14-day change (14d)
+5.5%
30-day change
+19.7%
30-day relative strength
+7.7%
Benchmark change
+12.1%
Nearest support
102.74
Nearest resistance
135.17
Volume accumulation ratio
0.7

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+14.7%
  • February 9, 2026: actual EPS 1.07 vs estimate 1.42 (surprise -24.6%)
  • November 4, 2025: actual EPS 2.78 vs estimate 1.26 (surprise +120.6%)
  • August 5, 2025: actual EPS 0.99 vs estimate 1.54 (surprise -35.9%)
  • May 2, 2025: actual EPS 1.82 vs estimate 1.84 (surprise -1.3%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Neutral

    The company's history shows inconsistent performance around earnings, with a mixed rate of beating estimates.

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
2.6%
75th percentile move
5.6%
90th percentile move
7.5%
Up / down moves
13 / 6
Average up move
+3.3%
Average down move
-4.3%

Monitoring and close

What Apollo Global Management, Inc. reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Consolidated
-1.0%
Max move
+4.2%

No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.