Waste Management, Inc. (WM) earnings on July 28, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Waste Management, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Partial

Waste Management's stock fell after the company reported mixed quarterly results and lowered its sales forecast for next year.

WM price around the earnings

236.60

Change: -1.2%

2026-07-29, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
232.00 235.57 239.15 242.72 239.41
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)
July 28, 2026 July 29, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Partial

Thesis published
Results released

Analyst upgrades to $260 target with positive trend strength, but mixed earnings history (50% beat rate) creates uncertainty.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Positive trend strength into event, but recent trajectory shows cooling and volatility despite analyst upgrades.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.75
Analysts covering the stock
25
Average price target
257.92
Lowest price target
220
Highest price target
285
Upside to price target
7.4%
Quarterly earnings growth
13.5%
Revenue growth
3.5%
Forward EPS
9.21
Trailing EPS
0.86
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
3
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 16
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
16
Hold
9
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • July 16, 2026 · Scotiabank: Maintains rating (Sector Perform → Sector Perform)
  • July 10, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 8, 2026 · Oppenheimer: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)

Technicals

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
1.8%
Distance to 52-week high
-1.8%
14-day change (14d)
+0.4%
30-day change (31d)
+5.5%
30-day relative strength
+4.2%
SPY change (31d)
+1.3%
Nearest support
236.89
Nearest resistance
238.5
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.99

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+0.8%
  • April 28, 2026: actual EPS 1.81 vs estimate 1.74 (surprise +4.0%)
  • January 28, 2026: actual EPS 1.93 vs estimate 1.95 (surprise -0.9%)
  • October 27, 2025: actual EPS 1.98 vs estimate 2.01 (surprise -1.6%)
  • July 28, 2025: actual EPS 1.92 vs estimate 1.89 (surprise +1.8%)

Expected move

Implied move
+1.5%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
3.2%
75th percentile move
5.2%
90th percentile move
6.1%
Up / down moves
10 / 10
Average up move
+3.8%
Average down move
-2.9%

Monitoring and close

What Waste Management, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS2.02
EPS estimate1.98
EPS surprise+2.0%
Revenue$6,684 million
Revenue estimate$6,701 million
Revenue surprise-0.3%

Waste Management reports strong cash flow and margin improvement in Q2, despite weak volumes weighing on revenue.

Sources (9)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Mixed results

Heading into the open, the figures don't clearly confirm the prior scenario.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Partial
Consolidated
-1.2%
Max favorable move (MFE)
1.5%
Max adverse move (MAE)
3.1%