Trimble Inc. (TRMB) earnings on August 12, 2026
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed
Trimble's stock dropped despite beating expectations and announcing a large share buyback, as the news fell short of high hopes.
TRMB price around the earnings
56.35
Change: -2.8%
2026-08-12, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed
- Thesis published
- Results released
Strong expectations, optimistic scenario
Analysts cite strong upside with a strong recent record of beating earnings, but recent price target cuts and high expected volatility suggest the bar is set high. The scenario is optimistic, driven mainly by the technical structure outweighing more cautious sentiment.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Strong expectations, optimistic scenario
- Playbook
- The stock has been outperforming the market recently, with a strong trend and near a support level. However, some analysts have trimmed their price targets, and expected volatility is elevated, indicating a cautious backdrop.
- Trend
- Analyst confidence strengthening over recent days
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
The average price target implies a +40.2% upside, with several major banks rating it as a buy.
Evidence
- Analysts covering the stock
- 11
- Average price target
- 81.27
- Lowest price target
- 61
- Highest price target
- 94
- Upside to price target
- 40.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 48.3%
- Revenue growth
- 11.8%
- Forward EPS
- 4.08
- Trailing EPS
- 1.89
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 3
- Strong buy: 3
- Buy: 9
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 3
- Buy
- 9
- Hold
- 1
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- July 14, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- July 13, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- July 7, 2026 · Oppenheimer: Reiterates rating (Outperform → Outperform)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
Some analysts have recently lowered their price targets, which tempers the otherwise positive outlook.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- High
- Normalized volume
- 99%
News
Sources (3)
- Trimble Gears Up For Q2 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Trimble, Lowers Price Target to $61 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Trimble, Lowers Price Target to $75 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Positive
The stock is outperforming the S&P 500 by +7.66%, and a recent pullback brought it near a support level.
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 57.97
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.1%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -31.4%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -0.8%
- 30-day change (32d)
- +9.7%
- 30-day relative strength
- +7.7%
- SPY change (32d)
- +2.1%
- Nearest support
- 57.61
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.6%
- Nearest resistance
- 58.25
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0.5%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.03
- Mid: 57.61 (0.6% away, 0.2 ATR, 13 touches)
- Mid: 57.1 (1.5% away, 0.49 ATR, 21 touches)
- Minor: 56.77 (2.1% away, 0.68 ATR, 9 touches)
- Mid: 58.25 (0.5% away, 0.16 ATR, 24 touches)
- Mid: 58.59 (1.1% away, 0.35 ATR, 10 touches)
- Mid: 58.92 (1.7% away, 0.54 ATR, 15 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +10.1%
- May 6, 2026: actual EPS 0.79 vs estimate 0.72 (surprise +9.8%)
- February 10, 2026: actual EPS 1 vs estimate 0.96 (surprise +4.1%)
- November 5, 2025: actual EPS 0.81 vs estimate 0.72 (surprise +12.9%)
- August 6, 2025: actual EPS 0.71 vs estimate 0.63 (surprise +13.6%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
The company has beaten earnings expectations in every quarter, with an average surprise of +10.1%.
- Implied move
- +6.2%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 3.3%
- 75th percentile move
- 7%
- 90th percentile move
- 10.8%
- Up / down moves
- 11 / 9
- Average up move
- +4.3%
- Average down move
- -6.4%
Monitoring and close
What Trimble Inc. reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 0.86 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 0.8 |
| EPS surprise | +7.5% |
| Revenue | $972 million |
| Revenue estimate | $952 million |
| Revenue surprise | +2.1% |
Trimble beat Q2 expectations, expanded margins, and raised its full-year outlook. Shares slipped slightly despite the results, keeping an optimistic tone.
Sources (15)
- What To Expect From Trimble’s (TRMB) Q2 Earnings (opens in a new tab) — StockStory
- Trimble Stock Slips Despite Q2 Beat: Connected Cloud Workflows and $1B Buyback Drive Outlook (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- 'Private Equity Firms Circle Trimble's Transportation Unit' - Axios Exclusive (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Trimble Q2 Earnings Call Highlights (opens in a new tab) — MarketBeat
- Trimble Announces New $1B Buyback Program (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Trimble (TRMB) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Update: Trimble's Q2 Non-GAAP Earnings, Revenue Rise (opens in a new tab) — MT Newswires
- Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (opens in a new tab) — SeekingAlpha
- Trimble’s (NASDAQ:TRMB) Q2 CY2026: Beats On Revenue, Full-Year Outlook Slightly Exceeds Expectations (opens in a new tab) — StockStory
- Trimble Lowers FY2026 GAAP EPS Guidance from $2.05-$2.21 to $(0.12)-$(0.07) vs $2.25 Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Trimble Sees Q3 GAAP EPS $0.39-$0.44 vs $0.55 Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Trimble Sees Q3 Adj EPS $0.83-$0.88 vs $0.87 Est; Sees Sales $953.000M-$978.000M vs $959.911M Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Trimble Raises FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance from $3.47-$3.64 to $3.60-$3.70 vs $3.59 Est; Raises FY2026 Sales Guidance from $3.835B-$3.915B to $3.900B-$3.950B vs $3.896B Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Trimble beat expectations with adjusted EPS of $0.86 and sales of $972M, above estimates. — Benzinga
- Trimble Q2 Adj. EPS $0.86 Beats $0.80 Estimate, Sales $972.000M Beat $951.909M Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Pre-market second reading after the results
- Verdict
- Beat expectations
Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, yet the price is indicating -1.0% pre-market, a move below the stock's usual reaction (about 3%). In past cases, the figures don't confirm the prior scenario: the price move doesn't follow the direction the results point to.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Missed
- Consolidated
- -2.8%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 0%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 2.1%