TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) earnings on May 6, 2026
More TKO Group Holdings, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
The stock price saw a small decline after the earnings report. It experienced a dip during the day and closed with a minor loss.
TKO price around the earnings
186.91
Change: -1.9%
2026-05-07, 23:59 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Slightly positive outlook, but risks remain.
Analysts anticipate a price increase, but a recent earnings miss and weak stock performance compared to the market cast doubt. The company's own forecast also suggests caution.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Slightly optimistic outlook, but risks remain.
- Reasoning
- Analysts point to an optimistic scenario, but a recent earnings miss and weak stock performance compared to the market cast doubt. The company's own forecast also suggests caution.
- Playbook
- Given the mixed contexts, a cautious approach is suggested. Confirmation of improved performance or a clearer trend is a key factor before a significant investment.
- Trend
- Slight uptick after underperformance, weak run-up.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
The average analyst view is positive, with price targets cited as a reference. A recent upgrade from a major firm supports this optimistic outlook.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.59
- Analysts covering the stock
- 18
- Average price target
- 234.61
- Lowest price target
- 185
- Highest price target
- 275
- Upside to price target
- 22.9%
- Revenue growth
- 11.9%
- Forward EPS
- 4.57
- Trailing EPS
- 2.26
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 3
- Strong buy: 3
- Buy: 14
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 3
- Buy
- 14
- Hold
- 5
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- May 1, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Upgrades rating (Equal-Weight → Overweight)
- April 27, 2026 · Bernstein: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- March 11, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (2)
- Morgan Stanley Upgrades TKO Group Holdings to Overweight, Raises Price Target to $225 — Benzinga
- Bernstein Maintains Outperform on TKO Group Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $240 — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock has underperformed the broader market over the last month. This indicates weaker price momentum compared to market trends.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.4%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -15.9%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +2.5%
- 30-day change
- -1.6%
- 30-day relative strength
- -13.6%
- Benchmark change
- +12.0%
- Nearest support
- 181.05
- Nearest resistance
- 208.37
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 1.18
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -1.2%
- February 25, 2026: actual EPS -0.03 vs estimate 0.22 (surprise -113.7%)
- November 5, 2025: actual EPS 0.39 vs estimate 0.22 (surprise +77.0%)
- August 6, 2025: actual EPS 1.17 vs estimate 1.09 (surprise +7.5%)
- May 8, 2025: actual EPS 0.69 vs estimate 0.55 (surprise +24.4%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Negative
The company reported a significant earnings miss in its last report. This raises concerns about its ability to meet future profit expectations.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 10 earnings
- Median move
- 3.7%
- 75th percentile move
- 5.5%
- 90th percentile move
- 6.8%
- Up / down moves
- 4 / 6
- Average up move
- +4.6%
- Average down move
- -3.5%
Monitoring and close
What TKO Group Holdings, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Consolidated
- -1.3%
- Max move
- -3.8%
No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.