Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) earnings on May 7, 2026

Q1 2026

More Targa Resources Corp. earnings

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

The stock closed slightly higher even though sales fell short of expectations. This indicates the market may have already anticipated some weakness in the company's sales figures.

TRGP price around the earnings

253.00

Change: +1.4%

2026-05-07, 23:58 UTC

End of the measured window
244.01 247.63 251.25 254.87 249.39
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)
May 7, 2026 May 7, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Thesis published

Negative outlook: sales miss, weak technicals.

The company missed sales expectations in its latest report, and some analysts have downgraded their ratings. While past earnings have generally beaten estimates, the stock's technical performance is weak.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Mixed outlook, price action is weak.
Reasoning
While analysts expect earnings to grow, they predict revenue will fall. Recent analyst actions have been mixed, and the stock is underperforming the market.
Playbook
Given the mixed contexts and underperformance, the scenario suggests waiting for clearer positive trends. Analyst actions and price momentum are key factors.
Trend
Flat to positive momentum, underperforming benchmark.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Neutral

    Most analysts recommend buying, but a recent downgrade from one firm adds caution. The scenario is estimated at 7% optimistic.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Strong buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.5
Analysts covering the stock
20
Average price target
266.8
Lowest price target
236
Highest price target
327
Upside to price target
7%
Quarterly earnings growth
55.3%
Revenue growth
-7.9%
Forward EPS
11.66
Trailing EPS
8.49
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
10
  • Strong buy: 5
  • Buy: 14
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
5
Buy
14
Hold
3
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • May 4, 2026 · Seaport Global: Downgrades rating (Buy → Neutral)
  • April 20, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • April 13, 2026 · Scotiabank: Maintains rating (Sector Outperform → Sector Outperform)
  • April 13, 2026 · RBC Capital: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
  • April 13, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • April 7, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • April 7, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • March 24, 2026 · Truist Securities: Initiates coverage (Buy → Buy)
  • March 24, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • March 19, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (9)
  • This Prudential Financial Analyst Turns Bearish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Monday — Benzinga
  • Seaport Global Downgrades Targa Resources to Neutral — Benzinga
  • Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy on Targa Resources, Raises Price Target to $268 — Benzinga
  • Targa Resources Increases Its Quarterly Cash Dividend From $1.00 To $1.25 — Benzinga
  • Scotiabank Maintains Sector Outperform on Targa Resources, Raises Price Target to $249 — Benzinga
  • RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Targa Resources, Raises Price Target to $270 — Benzinga
  • Truist Securities Maintains Buy on Targa Resources, Raises Price Target to $285 — Benzinga
  • Barclays Maintains Overweight on Targa Resources, Raises Price Target to $255 — Benzinga
  • Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on Targa Resources, Raises Price Target to $327 — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Negative

    The stock's price has shown little movement recently and is not keeping pace with the broader market.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2.8%
Distance to 52-week high
-4.8%
14-day change (14d)
+5.9%
30-day change
+1.6%
30-day relative strength
-10.5%
Benchmark change
+12.0%
Nearest support
230.48
Nearest resistance
261.81
Volume accumulation ratio
0.79

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+2.5%
  • February 19, 2026: actual EPS 2.69 vs estimate 2.4 (surprise +12.1%)
  • November 5, 2025: actual EPS 2.2 vs estimate 2.13 (surprise +3.1%)
  • August 7, 2025: actual EPS 2.02 vs estimate 1.98 (surprise +2.2%)
  • May 1, 2025: actual EPS 1.89 vs estimate 2.04 (surprise -7.6%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Neutral

    The company meets or beats earnings expectations about 75% of the time, with small average surprises. This suggests moderate predictability.

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
1.4%
75th percentile move
3.3%
90th percentile move
4.1%
Up / down moves
12 / 7
Average up move
+2.4%
Average down move
-1.5%

Monitoring and close

What Targa Resources Corp. reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Consolidated
+0.7%
Max move
-3.0%

No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.