Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) earnings on August 13, 2026
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed
Tapestry's stock fell sharply after the company said its Kate Spade brand is taking longer to recover than expected. The price dropped about 16% by the close.
TPR price around the earnings
128.39
Change: -16.5%
2026-08-13, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed
- Thesis published
- Results released
Strong expectations, optimistic scenario
Analysts see strong recent price gains and a strong recent record of beating earnings forecasts, which supports a positive outlook. However, the stock has already risen a lot, so expectations are high and a pullback after good news is a real risk.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Strong expectations, optimistic scenario
- Playbook
- The stock has climbed sharply over the past month, outpacing the broader market, and sits near a support level. Analysts' average price target suggests modest upside, but the recent run-up means the stock is priced for perfection.
- Trend
- Analyst confidence improving over recent days
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Several analysts raised their price targets, with the average target citing about 9% above the current price.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.86
- Analysts covering the stock
- 20
- Average price target
- 168.2
- Lowest price target
- 88
- Highest price target
- 230
- Upside to price target
- 9.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 69.1%
- Revenue growth
- 21.2%
- Forward EPS
- 7.84
- Trailing EPS
- 3.14
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 4
- Strong buy: 5
- Buy: 11
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 5
- Buy
- 11
- Hold
- 5
- Sell
- 1
- Strong sell
- 0
- August 6, 2026 · Telsey Advisory Group: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- August 4, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- July 16, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- June 23, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- High
- Normalized volume
- 99%
News
Sources (4)
- How To Earn $500 A Month From Tapestry Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Telsey Advisory Group Maintains Outperform on Tapestry, Raises Price Target to $175 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Tapestry, Raises Price Target to $211 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on Tapestry, Raises Price Target to $182 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Positive
The stock has risen about 13% in the past month, far outpacing the broader market, and is market review near a support level.
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 153.51
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.2%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -6.7%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +2.3%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +12.8%
- 30-day relative strength
- +9.7%
- SPY change (30d)
- +3.1%
- Nearest support
- 152
- Distance to nearest support
- 1%
- Nearest resistance
- 153.76
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0.2%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.99
- Major: 152 (1% away, 0.3 ATR, 25 touches)
- Mid: 149.39 (2.7% away, 0.83 ATR, 21 touches)
- Mid: 147.55 (3.9% away, 1.2 ATR, 17 touches)
- Mid: 153.76 (0.2% away, 0.05 ATR, 13 touches)
- Mid: 156.41 (1.9% away, 0.59 ATR, 18 touches)
- Mid: 157.99 (2.9% away, 0.91 ATR, 8 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +14.9%
- May 7, 2026: actual EPS 1.66 vs estimate 1.3 (surprise +27.8%)
- February 5, 2026: actual EPS 2.69 vs estimate 2.23 (surprise +20.7%)
- November 6, 2025: actual EPS 1.38 vs estimate 1.27 (surprise +8.9%)
- August 14, 2025: actual EPS 1.04 vs estimate 1.02 (surprise +2.1%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
The company has beaten earnings expectations in each of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of nearly 15%.
- Implied move
- +12.4%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 4.2%
- 75th percentile move
- 9.8%
- 90th percentile move
- 12.9%
- Up / down moves
- 14 / 4
- Average up move
- +6.0%
- Average down move
- -10.2%
Monitoring and close
What Tapestry, Inc. reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 1.32 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 1.28 |
| EPS surprise | +3.1% |
| Revenue | $1,876 million |
| Revenue estimate | $1,872 million |
| Revenue surprise | +0.2% |
Tapestry shares fell 17% as Kate Spade weakness continued to weigh. Coach growth failed to offset a softer sales forecast for the new fiscal year.
Sources (29)
- Tapestry Tumbles 17% as Kate Spade Weakness Hits Outlook (opens in a new tab) — GuruFocus.com
- Why Shares of Tapestry Were Falling Today (opens in a new tab) — Motley Fool
- Tapestry Stock Plunges 15% as Kate Spade Clouds Outlook (opens in a new tab) — GuruFocus.com
- Tapestry, Inc. Q4 2026 Earnings Call Summary (opens in a new tab) — Moby
- Tapestry Is the Worst Stock in the S&P 500 Today. Blame Guidance. (opens in a new tab) — Barrons.com
- Tapestry Triggers Sell Signal Despite Strong Earnings. Here's Why. (opens in a new tab) — Investor's Business Daily
- Tapestry Q4 Earnings Beat on Coach Growth & Margin Expansion (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Concerns About Growth at Coach Drive Down Tapestry Stock (opens in a new tab) — The Wall Street Journal
- Tapestry Admits Kate Spade Recovery Is Taking Longer As Coach Keeps Winning (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Tapestry Investors Wonder How Long Coach Can Excel (opens in a new tab) — The Wall Street Journal
- Tapestry Outlook Misses Estimates at Midpoint Following Fourth-Quarter Earnings Beat (opens in a new tab) — MT Newswires
- Tapestry Reports Q4 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Tapestry (TPR) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (opens in a new tab) — SeekingAlpha
- Tapestry (TPR) Tops Q4 Earnings Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Tapestry CEO on Q4 earnings beat: Our amplified strategies are working (opens in a new tab) — CNBC
- Tapestry Shares Slide as Softer FY27 Revenue Outlook Overshadows Q4 Beat (opens in a new tab) — InvestorsHub
- Tapestry Stock Slides on Soft Outlook (opens in a new tab) — The Wall Street Journal
- Tapestry shares tumble despite earnings beat (opens in a new tab) — Investing.com
- Tapestry’s Coach Still Driving Sales as Company Gives Soft Outlook (opens in a new tab) — The Wall Street Journal
- Tapestry (NYSE:TPR) Posts Q2 CY2026 Sales In Line With Estimates But Stock Drops On Weak Guidance (opens in a new tab) — StockStory
- Tapestry’s Annual Sales Hit $8B as Coach Continues to Drive Growth (opens in a new tab) — WWD
- Tapestry Expects To Buy Back $1.35B In Stock In FY2027 Under Existing Share Repurchase Authorization (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Tapestry Raises Qtrly Dividend By 16% To $0.4625/Share ($0.40 Prior) (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Tapestry beat earnings expectations with $1.32 per share, but revenue was in line with forecasts. — Benzinga
- Tapestry Q4 Adj. EPS $1.32 Beats $1.28 Estimate, Sales $1.876B Inline (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Tapestry Sees FY2027 Adj EPS $7.80-$7.90 vs $7.84 Est; Sees Sales $8.400B-$8.500B vs $8.464B Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Tapestry, Inc. Reports Fiscal 2026 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo
- Tapestry, Inc. 2026 Q4 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (opens in a new tab) — SeekingAlpha
Pre-market second reading after the results
- Verdict
- Beat expectations
Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, yet the price is indicating -9.6% pre-market, a move above the stock's usual reaction of about 4%. These figures overturn the prior optimistic scenario. In the 444 similar cases in our market history, the close held that direction 94% of the time.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Missed
- Consolidated
- -16.5%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 0%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 16.9%