Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) earnings on August 4, 2026

Before the market opens Q2 2026

More Rockwell Automation, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

Rockwell Automation stock opened steady but tumbled sharply, dropping nearly 10% at its worst point and ending down 7.43% after the quarterly report fell short of expectations.

ROK price around the earnings

445.23

Change: -7.4%

2026-08-04, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
435.67 450.77 465.88 480.98 480.98
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
August 4, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

Experts are cautiously optimistic: the company has a strong recent record of beating earnings forecasts and analysts have recently raised their price targets, but the stock is market review right at its target, leaving little room for further gains. The trend of expert opinion has been steadily positive over the past few days.

Context analyzed before publication

Playbook
The stock has been moving sideways in a tight range between $474 and $482, with modest gains over the past month. Recent positive news about its products and a price target increase from Citigroup support the business narrative.
Trend
Expert confidence improving slightly

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Neutral

    Analysts rate the stock as 'buy' with a price target of $475, which is almost exactly the current price, implying only 1.3% upside.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
2.25
Analysts covering the stock
24
Average price target
474.58
Lowest price target
282
Highest price target
555
Upside to price target
-1.3%
Quarterly earnings growth
38.9%
Revenue growth
11.9%
Forward EPS
14.63
Trailing EPS
9.65
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
2
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 10
  • Hold: 14
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
10
Hold
14
Sell
1
Strong sell
0
  • July 13, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • June 16, 2026 · DA Davidson: Initiates coverage (Neutral)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Positive

    Positive news about the Plex platform and the SecureOT selection supports the company's business story.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
High
Normalized volume
99%
News
Sources (4)

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Neutral

    The stock has risen 4.84% over 14 days and 1.91% over 30 days, roughly in line with the S&P 500, and is market review in a tight range.

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
480.99
Average true range (ATR)
3.1%
Distance to 52-week high
-3.0%
14-day change (14d)
+4.8%
30-day change (32d)
+1.9%
30-day relative strength
+0.2%
SPY change (32d)
+1.7%
Nearest support
474.05
Distance to nearest support
1.4%
Nearest resistance
481.95
Distance to nearest resistance
0.2%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
1.15
  • Mid: 474.05 (1.4% away, 0.47 ATR, 27 touches)
  • Mid: 469.46 (2.4% away, 0.79 ATR, 31 touches)
  • Mid: 464.05 (3.5% away, 1.15 ATR, 27 touches)
  • Mid: 481.95 (0.2% away, 0.07 ATR, 11 touches)
  • Mid: 485.14 (0.9% away, 0.28 ATR, 12 touches)
  • Mid: 489.29 (1.7% away, 0.57 ATR, 4 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+11.1%
  • May 5, 2026: actual EPS 3.3 vs estimate 2.88 (surprise +14.6%)
  • February 5, 2026: actual EPS 2.75 vs estimate 2.48 (surprise +10.7%)
  • November 6, 2025: actual EPS 3.34 vs estimate 2.94 (surprise +13.6%)
  • August 6, 2025: actual EPS 2.82 vs estimate 2.67 (surprise +5.7%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Positive

    The company has beaten earnings forecasts 100% of the time, with an average surprise of +11.1%, the strongest historical edge in this batch.

Implied move
+2.9%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
5.4%
75th percentile move
8.9%
90th percentile move
12.9%
Up / down moves
8 / 12
Average up move
+7.4%
Average down move
-6.2%

Monitoring and close

What Rockwell Automation, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS3.49
EPS estimate3.38
EPS surprise+3.3%
Revenue$2,313 million
Revenue estimate$2,243 million
Revenue surprise+3.1%

Rockwell Automation beat estimates and raised guidance, yet shares fell. Zebra jumped 20%. Mixed sentiment in automation.

Sources (17)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, and the price is indicating -4.4% pre-market, a move in line with the stock's usual reaction (about 5%). The figures overturn the prior optimistic scenario. In the 711 similar cases in our market history, the close held that direction 88% of the time.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
-7.4%
Max favorable move (MFE)
0%
Max adverse move (MAE)
9.9%