Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) earnings on August 6, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Republic Services, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

The company's quarterly results beat expectations and it raised its outlook for next year. The stock rose 2.16% on the day.

RSG price around the earnings

214.56

Change: +2.3%

2026-08-07, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
207.00 211.09 215.17 219.26 209.70
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)
August 6, 2026 August 7, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

Strong analyst support and perfect 100% beat history, but trajectory collapsed from +7.3 to -75.6 with negative trend strength into earnings.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Trajectory collapsed significantly into earnings, indicating an extreme selloff despite prior analyst support.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
2
Analysts covering the stock
24
Average price target
245.38
Lowest price target
208
Highest price target
270
Upside to price target
17.6%
Quarterly earnings growth
6.1%
Revenue growth
2.6%
Forward EPS
8.07
Trailing EPS
6.98
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
1
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 12
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
12
Hold
12
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • July 10, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
High
Normalized volume
99%
News
Sources (1)

Technicals

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
207.01
Average true range (ATR)
2.1%
Distance to 52-week high
-11.0%
14-day change (14d)
-4.3%
30-day change (30d)
-3.6%
30-day relative strength
-6.0%
SPY change (30d)
+2.5%
Nearest support
206.92
Distance to nearest support
0%
Nearest resistance
208.63
Distance to nearest resistance
0.8%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.86
  • Major: 206.92 (0% away, 0.02 ATR, 55 touches)
  • Major: 205.25 (0.9% away, 0.41 ATR, 50 touches)
  • Major: 202.86 (2% away, 0.97 ATR, 32 touches)
  • Major: 208.63 (0.8% away, 0.38 ATR, 53 touches)
  • Major: 209.63 (1.3% away, 0.61 ATR, 46 touches)
  • Major: 210.82 (1.8% away, 0.88 ATR, 32 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+4.8%
  • May 7, 2026: actual EPS 1.7 vs estimate 1.64 (surprise +3.8%)
  • February 17, 2026: actual EPS 1.76 vs estimate 1.63 (surprise +7.9%)
  • October 30, 2025: actual EPS 1.9 vs estimate 1.78 (surprise +6.5%)
  • July 29, 2025: actual EPS 1.77 vs estimate 1.76 (surprise +0.8%)

Expected move

Implied move
+1.5%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
2.7%
75th percentile move
3.7%
90th percentile move
5%
Up / down moves
11 / 9
Average up move
+2.2%
Average down move
-2.9%

Monitoring and close

What Republic Services, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS1.85
EPS estimate1.81
EPS surprise+2.2%
Revenue$4,430 million
Revenue estimate$4,362 million
Revenue surprise+1.6%

Republic Services beat expectations in Q2 with adjusted earnings of $1.85 per share and sales of $4.43 billion. The company raised its 2026 guidance, reflecting optimism.

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, and the price is indicating -0.0% pre-market, a move below the stock's usual reaction (about 3%). The figures don't confirm the prior scenario: that move is too small to draw conclusions from.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
+2.2%
Max favorable move (MFE)
0%
Max adverse move (MAE)
3%