Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) earnings on July 22, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Raymond James Financial, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

RJF slipped to close 1.11% lower after reaching a +0.72% intraday high, despite positive expectations and strong growth outlook. The stock could not sustain its early trend strength.

RJF price around the earnings

166.14

Change: -1.1%

2026-07-23, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
158.14 161.83 165.53 169.22 168.01
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)
July 22, 2026 July 23, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

Strong trend strength and positive growth projections, supported by high past beat rate, but extreme retail crowding near resistance.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Consistent strong trend strength and positive growth into earnings, with increasing retail crowding near resistance.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
2.43
Analysts covering the stock
12
Average price target
182.67
Lowest price target
160
Highest price target
205
Upside to price target
8.8%
Quarterly earnings growth
9.9%
Revenue growth
13.1%
Forward EPS
13.96
Trailing EPS
10.6
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
5
  • Strong buy: 2
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
2
Buy
3
Hold
9
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • July 10, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
  • July 9, 2026 · Citizens: Maintains rating (Market Outperform → Market Outperform)
  • July 9, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • July 8, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • May 28, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%

Technicals

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2%
Distance to 52-week high
-3.6%
14-day change (14d)
+0.2%
30-day change (33d)
+7.8%
30-day relative strength
+7.6%
SPY change (33d)
+0.2%
Nearest support
167.15
Nearest resistance
168.4
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.82

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+1.0%
  • April 22, 2026: actual EPS 2.72 vs estimate 2.71 (surprise +0.5%)
  • January 28, 2026: actual EPS 2.86 vs estimate 2.83 (surprise +0.9%)
  • October 22, 2025: actual EPS 3.11 vs estimate 2.83 (surprise +10.0%)
  • July 23, 2025: actual EPS 2.18 vs estimate 2.36 (surprise -7.5%)

Expected move

Implied move
+1.5%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
2.3%
75th percentile move
4.1%
90th percentile move
5.3%
Up / down moves
10 / 10
Average up move
+3.7%
Average down move
-1.7%

Monitoring and close

What Raymond James Financial, Inc. reported

Status
Pending
Actual EPS3.14
EPS estimate2.91
EPS surprise+7.9%
Revenue$3,930 million
Revenue estimate$3,875 million
Revenue surprise+1.4%

Sources (1)

  • Raymond James beat expectations with adjusted EPS of $3.14 versus $2.91 estimate, and revenue of $3.93B above $3.875B. — Benzinga

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, the figures don't clearly confirm the prior scenario.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
-1.1%
Max favorable move (MFE)
0.7%
Max adverse move (MAE)
3%