ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) earnings on May 4, 2026

After the market closes Q1 2026

More ON Semiconductor Corporation earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Partial

After reporting results, the stock jumped as much as 3.68% but gave up those gains and fell as much as 6.06% before ending up 0.68%.

ON price around the earnings

102.67

Change: +0.7%

2026-05-05, 19:59 UTC

Start of the measured window
95.91 99.18 102.46 105.73 101.98
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
May 4, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Partial

Thesis published

Potential for overvaluation; the scenario suggests caution.

The stock has seen a significant rally, boosted by positive news in the chip industry and company buybacks, but analysts suggest the price may have already risen too much.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Potential for overvaluation; the scenario warrants caution.
Playbook
While the sector is strong, the current price may reflect future expectations. The scenario suggests waiting for a pullback or clearer upside potential.
Trend
Outlook mixed, recent decline in confidence.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Negative

    Analysts cite an average price target below the current price, indicating that the current price may be too high.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
2.41
Analysts covering the stock
29
Average price target
70.17
Lowest price target
56
Highest price target
100
Upside to price target
-19.3%
Quarterly earnings growth
-52.1%
Revenue growth
-11.2%
Forward EPS
4.05
Trailing EPS
0.29
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
1
  • Strong buy: 1
  • Buy: 11
  • Hold: 20
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong sell: 1
Strong buy
1
Buy
11
Hold
20
Sell
1
Strong sell
1
  • April 13, 2026 · B of A Securities: Upgrades rating (Neutral → Buy)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Positive

    Positive news within the semiconductor industry is helping the stock, and online sentiment is largely optimistic.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (4)
  • This Week's Wolf Pick - ON Semiconductor; ON Gets 11x More Silicon Per Nvidia Rack — Benzinga
  • ON Semiconductor's $6 Billion Buyback, AI Growth Shift Narrative — Benzinga
  • This Starbucks Analyst Is No Longer Bearish; Here Are Top 5 Upgrades For Monday — Benzinga
  • B of A Securities Upgrades ON Semiconductor to Buy, Raises Price Target to $85 — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Positive

    The stock has shown exceptional price gains recently, significantly outperforming the broader market (SPY).

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
3.7%
Distance to 52-week high
-0.7%
14-day change (14d)
+39.7%
30-day change
+45.7%
30-day relative strength
+41.9%
Benchmark change
+3.8%
Nearest support
55.03
Nearest resistance
87.45
Volume accumulation ratio
0.94

Trends

Drivers

  • Macro & trends Positive

    The overall trend for semiconductor companies is strong, with significant investment in the sector supporting favorable market conditions.

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
-2.1%
  • February 9, 2026: actual EPS 0.45 vs estimate 0.59 (surprise -24.3%)
  • November 3, 2025: actual EPS 0.63 vs estimate 0.59 (surprise +6.6%)
  • August 4, 2025: actual EPS 0.53 vs estimate 0.53 (surprise -0.4%)
  • May 5, 2025: actual EPS 0.55 vs estimate 0.5 (surprise +9.6%)

Expected move

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
8.2%
75th percentile move
10.5%
90th percentile move
14.4%
Up / down moves
13 / 6
Average up move
+6.4%
Average down move
-9.9%

Monitoring and close

What ON Semiconductor Corporation reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Partial
Consolidated
+0.7%
Max favorable move (MFE)
3.7%
Max adverse move (MAE)
6.1%