Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) earnings on July 29, 2026

Before the market opens Q2 2026

More Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Old Dominion Freight Line beat profit and sales forecasts thanks to higher prices, but the stock still fell 2.35% on the day.

ODFL price around the earnings

222.79

Change: -2.3%

2026-07-29, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
212.45 218.50 224.55 230.60 228.12
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
July 29, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Thesis published
Results released

Volatile run-up with strong past earnings, but negative forward growth and limited optimistic scenario.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Volatile run-up with strong past earnings, but recent scores show declining trend strength into the event.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Hold
Consensus average (1-5)
2.54
Analysts covering the stock
22
Average price target
230.95
Lowest price target
155
Highest price target
280
Upside to price target
2.1%
Quarterly earnings growth
-6.4%
Revenue growth
-2.9%
Forward EPS
6.48
Trailing EPS
4.79
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
10
  • Strong buy: 1
  • Buy: 8
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 3
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
1
Buy
8
Hold
12
Sell
3
Strong sell
0
  • July 21, 2026 · Stifel: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 15, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 14, 2026 · Susquehanna: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 13, 2026 · Raymond James: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
  • July 9, 2026 · Citigroup: Upgrades rating (Sell → Neutral)
  • July 8, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Upgrades rating (Equal-Weight → Overweight)
  • July 7, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 6, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Downgrades rating (Overweight → Equal-Weight)
  • July 1, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Upgrades rating (In-Line → Outperform)
  • June 25, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (8)

Technicals

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
226.21
Average true range (ATR)
2.7%
Distance to 52-week high
-8.8%
14-day change (14d)
-1.2%
30-day change (32d)
+3.3%
30-day relative strength
+7.6%
QQQ change (32d)
-4.3%
Nearest support
226.08
Distance to nearest support
0.1%
Nearest resistance
229.23
Distance to nearest resistance
1.3%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.78
  • Major: 226.08 (0.1% away, 0.02 ATR, 35 touches)
  • Minor: 224.14 (0.9% away, 0.34 ATR, 3 touches)
  • Major: 221.75 (2% away, 0.72 ATR, 26 touches)
  • Mid: 229.23 (1.3% away, 0.49 ATR, 20 touches)
  • Minor: 231.21 (2.2% away, 0.81 ATR, 5 touches)
  • Mid: 232.99 (3% away, 1.1 ATR, 21 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+3.8%
  • April 29, 2026: actual EPS 1.14 vs estimate 1.05 (surprise +8.5%)
  • February 4, 2026: actual EPS 1.09 vs estimate 1.06 (surprise +2.8%)
  • October 29, 2025: actual EPS 1.28 vs estimate 1.22 (surprise +5.2%)
  • July 30, 2025: actual EPS 1.27 vs estimate 1.29 (surprise -1.2%)

Expected move

Implied move
+2.7%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
4.5%
75th percentile move
7.3%
90th percentile move
10%
Up / down moves
10 / 10
Average up move
+4.0%
Average down move
-4.7%

Monitoring and close

What Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS1.68
EPS estimate1.49
EPS surprise+12.8%
Revenue$1,554 million
Revenue estimate$1,524 million
Revenue surprise+2.0%

Old Dominion posts record revenue and improved operating ratio in Q2 2026. Optimistic, plans more capex to target sub-70 OR.

Sources (14)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, the figures don't clearly confirm the prior scenario.

How the stock reacted

Consolidated
-2.4%
Max move
-5.8%

No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.