Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) earnings on August 5, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Occidental Petroleum Corporation earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate

Occidental Petroleum shares rose after beating earnings and sales estimates, raising its dividend, and getting a price target increase. The stock closed up 4.01% after reaching a high of 6.58%.

OXY price around the earnings

56.04

Change: +4.1%

2026-08-06, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
53.60 54.83 56.06 57.29 53.81
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
August 5, 2026 August 6, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate

Thesis published
Results released

Exceptional earnings beats (+52.9% avg) and strong RS (+9.14% vs SPY), but extreme retail crowding at resistance.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Score peaked at 58.9 then moderated to 50.4; pullback from high creates mixed trend strength

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
2.33
Analysts covering the stock
23
Average price target
64.52
Lowest price target
55
Highest price target
75
Upside to price target
20.1%
Quarterly earnings growth
257.4%
Revenue growth
-8.3%
Forward EPS
3.91
Trailing EPS
0.74
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
4
  • Strong buy: 2
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
2
Buy
7
Hold
15
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • July 17, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 14, 2026 · Stephens & Co.: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • July 8, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Upgrades rating (Underperform → Outperform)
  • June 29, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)

Technicals

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
55.08
Average true range (ATR)
3.1%
Distance to 52-week high
-18.5%
14-day change (14d)
-2.5%
30-day change (33d)
+12.7%
30-day relative strength
+9.1%
SPY change (33d)
+3.5%
Nearest support
54.9
Distance to nearest support
0.3%
Nearest resistance
55.43
Distance to nearest resistance
0.6%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.83
  • Mid: 54.9 (0.3% away, 0.11 ATR, 24 touches)
  • Mid: 54.53 (1% away, 0.32 ATR, 9 touches)
  • Mid: 54.28 (1.5% away, 0.47 ATR, 13 touches)
  • Mid: 55.43 (0.6% away, 0.2 ATR, 22 touches)
  • Mid: 55.7 (1.1% away, 0.37 ATR, 15 touches)
  • Mid: 56.26 (2.2% away, 0.7 ATR, 21 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+52.9%
  • May 5, 2026: actual EPS 1.06 vs estimate 0.59 (surprise +80.3%)
  • February 18, 2026: actual EPS 0.31 vs estimate 0.17 (surprise +83.8%)
  • November 10, 2025: actual EPS 0.64 vs estimate 0.52 (surprise +22.7%)
  • August 6, 2025: actual EPS 0.39 vs estimate 0.31 (surprise +24.8%)

Expected move

Implied move
+3.8%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
2.7%
75th percentile move
5.2%
90th percentile move
7.5%
Up / down moves
11 / 9
Average up move
+3.4%
Average down move
-3.7%

Monitoring and close

What Occidental Petroleum Corporation reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS2.4
EPS estimate1.85
EPS surprise+29.7%
Revenue$8,327 million
Revenue estimate$7,059 million
Revenue surprise+18.0%

Occidental Petroleum reported second-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.40 per share and sales of $8.33 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations.

Sources (2)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, and the price is indicating +2.2% pre-market, a move in line with the stock's usual reaction (about 3%). The figures confirm the optimistic scenario. Across our market history, in the 1,401 similar cases the close held that direction 72% of the time.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Accurate
Consolidated
+4.0%
Max favorable move (MFE)
6.6%
Max adverse move (MAE)
0.1%