NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) earnings on May 20, 2026

After the market closes Q1 2026

More NVIDIA Corporation earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Partial

The stock rose as much as 1.76% during the day but ended down 1.77% after the company reported its quarterly results. Investors initially reacted positively but shifted to selling, pushing the price below where it started.

NVDA price around the earnings

219.51

Change: -1.8%

2026-05-21, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
217.00 220.37 223.73 227.10 223.47
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
May 20, 2026 May 21, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Partial

Thesis published

Strong buy consensus, but overbought conditions are present.

Experts maintain a strong buy consensus with significant optimistic potential, driven by consistent earnings beats. However, recent technical indicators suggest the stock may be overbought, and its trajectory has been volatile, indicating potential for short-term corrections.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Strong buy consensus, but overbought conditions are a factor.
Reasoning
Experts maintain a strong buy consensus with an optimistic scenario, driven by consistent earnings beats. However, recent technical indicators suggest the stock may be overbought, and its trajectory has been volatile, indicating potential for short-term corrections.
Playbook
While the outlook is positive, the overbought technicals are a factor. The stock has strong analyst backing for the longer term.
Trend
Volatile trajectory contexts overbought corrections; moderate runup risk.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Positive

    A large number of analysts recommend buying the stock, with price targets pointing to a substantially optimistic scenario. Several firms have recently upgraded their ratings.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Strong buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.3
Analysts covering the stock
57
Average price target
272.94
Lowest price target
140
Highest price target
380
Upside to price target
21.1%
Quarterly earnings growth
94.5%
Revenue growth
73.2%
Forward EPS
11.43
Trailing EPS
4.89
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
9
  • Strong buy: 10
  • Buy: 48
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
10
Buy
48
Hold
2
Sell
1
Strong sell
0
  • May 15, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • May 14, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • May 14, 2026 · RBC Capital: Reiterates rating (Outperform → Outperform)
  • May 14, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • May 12, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • March 31, 2026 · Benchmark: Reiterates rating (Buy → Buy)
  • March 23, 2026 · Rosenblatt: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • March 23, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Reiterates rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • March 19, 2026 · Raymond James: Maintains rating (Strong Buy → Strong Buy)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (4)
  • Jensen Huang's Mother Taught Him English Even Though She Didn't Speak Any, Here's How It Helped Develop The Mindset That 'Defines' Today's Nvidia — Benzinga
  • NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Wall Street Pros Boost Stock Targets Amid AI Boom — Benzinga
  • Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Nvidia, Cisco, Virgin Galactic — And Inflation Fears Rattle Investors — Benzinga
  • Nebius Group, Cisco Systems, Micron Technology And More: 5 Stocks Investors Couldn't Stop Buzzing About This Week — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Negative

    The stock's price movement has been erratic, showing signs of being overbought. There is resistance at current price levels, limiting an immediately optimistic scenario.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
0%
Distance to 52-week high
-4.7%
14-day change (14d)
+2.5%
30-day change (1d)
+2.5%
30-day relative strength
+2.5%
Benchmark change (0d)
+0.0%
Nearest support
188.8
Nearest resistance
195.89
Volume accumulation ratio (2d / 2d)
1

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+5.2%
  • February 25, 2026: actual EPS 1.62 vs estimate 1.54 (surprise +5.3%)
  • November 19, 2025: actual EPS 1.3 vs estimate 1.26 (surprise +3.5%)
  • August 27, 2025: actual EPS 1.05 vs estimate 1.01 (surprise +4.1%)
  • May 28, 2025: actual EPS 0.81 vs estimate 0.75 (surprise +8.0%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Positive

    The company has a strong recent record of beating earnings expectations over the last year. The average surprise has also been consistently positive.

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
5.2%
75th percentile move
8.4%
90th percentile move
14.4%
Up / down moves
11 / 8
Average up move
+8.2%
Average down move
-4.5%

Monitoring and close

What NVIDIA Corporation reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Partial
Consolidated
-1.8%
Max favorable move (MFE)
1.8%
Max adverse move (MAE)
3.2%