Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) earnings on July 21, 2026

Before the market opens Q2 2026

More Northrop Grumman Corporation earnings

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Northrop Grumman's stock initially rose 2.9% after strong results and record orders, but reversed to close down 3%.

NOC price around the earnings

512.29

Change: -2.6%

2026-07-21, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
479.05 499.80 520.54 541.29 525.98
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
July 21, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Thesis published
Results released

Exceptional past earnings beat record and analysts are optimistic, recovering from recent negative trend.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Recovering from prior negative trend strength, showing a recent positive shift and bounce potential into earnings.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst moves in the last 60 days
5
  • Strong buy: 4
  • Buy: 10
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
4
Buy
10
Hold
9
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • July 14, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 13, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
  • July 1, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • June 26, 2026 · Jefferies: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
  • May 26, 2026 · Jefferies: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)

Technicals

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2.5%
Distance to 52-week high
-31.5%
14-day change (14d)
+5.7%
30-day change (30d)
-3.8%
30-day relative strength
-3.8%
Benchmark change (0d)
+0.0%
Nearest support
521.62
Nearest resistance
524.64
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
1.43

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+11.0%
  • April 21, 2026: actual EPS 6.14 vs estimate 6.06 (surprise +1.3%)
  • January 27, 2026: actual EPS 7.23 vs estimate 6.96 (surprise +3.8%)
  • October 21, 2025: actual EPS 7.67 vs estimate 6.46 (surprise +18.8%)
  • July 22, 2025: actual EPS 8.15 vs estimate 6.8 (surprise +19.9%)

Expected move

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
2.6%
75th percentile move
6.5%
90th percentile move
7.9%
Up / down moves
11 / 9
Average up move
+2.8%
Average down move
-5.5%

Monitoring and close

What Northrop Grumman Corporation reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS7.68
EPS estimate6.82
EPS surprise+12.6%
Revenue$10,876 million
Revenue estimate$10,803 million
Revenue surprise+0.7%

Northrop Grumman reports record $105B backlog and raises annual forecast, but shares fall on weak margins and pessimistic outlook.

Sources (28)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Heading into the open, the figures don't clearly confirm the prior scenario.

How the stock reacted

Consolidated
-3.1%
Max move
-8.9%

No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.