Morgan Stanley (MS) earnings on July 15, 2026
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
Morgan Stanley stock seesawed dramatically during the day, swinging nearly 3% up and nearly 3% down before closing up 0.4%. Investors weighed the company's comments on AI spending against broader market movements.
MS price around the earnings
228.55
Change: +0.4%
2026-07-15, 20:00 UTC
Start of the measured window
End of the measured window
222.00
226.12
230.25
234.37
227.67
July 15, 2026
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
- Thesis published
Exceptional earnings streak (100% beat, +15.8% avg) anchors outlook, but 14d trend strength deterioration and analyst target downside create structural headwind.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Strong earnings anchor but recent trend strength collapse (25.0→-13.8) contexts exhaustion into event.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.4
- Analysts covering the stock
- 21
- Average price target
- 217.86
- Lowest price target
- 165
- Highest price target
- 255
- Upside to price target
- -4.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 29%
- Revenue growth
- 16.3%
- Forward EPS
- 13.04
- Trailing EPS
- 11.36
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 8
- Strong buy: 2
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 2
- Buy
- 8
- Hold
- 13
- Sell
- 1
- Strong sell
- 1
- July 7, 2026 · B of A Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- July 7, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- July 6, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- July 6, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- June 30, 2026 · Oppenheimer: Downgrades rating (Perform → Underperform)
- June 24, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- June 23, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- June 12, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (6)
- Morgan Stanley Submits Amended Filing for Ethereum, Solana ETF— Analyst Says Launch Getting 'Pretty Close' — Benzinga
- Morgan Stanley, Johnson & Johnson And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Wednesday — Benzinga
- Morgan Stanley Stock Climbs: What's Happening Today? — Benzinga
- CNBC Halftime Report Final Trades: Nvidia, Morgan Stanley, Invesco, JP Morgan Chase & Co. — Benzinga
- BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, Capital One Financial and an Energy Stock: CNBC’s ‘Final Trades’ — Benzinga
- CNBC Halftime Report Final Trades: Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, Capital One Financial, Valero Energy — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.6%
- Distance to 52-week high
- +0.0%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +0.8%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +9.7%
- 30-day relative strength
- +9.7%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 227.37
- Nearest resistance
- 229.03
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.96
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +15.8%
- April 15, 2026: actual EPS 3.43 vs estimate 3.02 (surprise +13.6%)
- January 15, 2026: actual EPS 2.68 vs estimate 2.45 (surprise +9.4%)
- October 15, 2025: actual EPS 2.8 vs estimate 2.11 (surprise +32.6%)
- July 16, 2025: actual EPS 2.13 vs estimate 1.98 (surprise +7.5%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 4%
- 75th percentile move
- 5.3%
- 90th percentile move
- 6.4%
- Up / down moves
- 14 / 5
- Average up move
- +3.4%
- Average down move
- -3.5%
Monitoring and close
What Morgan Stanley reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Partial
- Consolidated
- +0.4%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 2.6%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 3.1%