Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) earnings on August 6, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Microchip Technology Incorporated earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

Microchip Technology's stock jumped after its earnings report, rising as much as 15.8% during the day and closing up 13.6%. This happened even though one analyst firm kept a positive rating but lowered its price target.

MCHP price around the earnings

84.69

Change: +13.6%

2026-08-07, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
73.36 77.57 81.79 86.00 74.52
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
August 6, 2026 August 7, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

Despite 100% beat rate and high analyst upside, stock faces severe trend strength breakdown and high implied volatility.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Stock shows severe trend strength breakdown and deteriorating trajectory into earnings, despite earlier stabilization attempts.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.56
Analysts covering the stock
24
Average price target
113.08
Lowest price target
80
Highest price target
135
Upside to price target
51.1%
Revenue growth
35.1%
Forward EPS
4.2
Trailing EPS
0.22
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
3
  • Strong buy: 2
  • Buy: 17
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
2
Buy
17
Hold
6
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • August 3, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Reiterates rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • July 20, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
  • July 13, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)

Technicals

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
77.65
Average true range (ATR)
5.2%
Distance to 52-week high
-27.1%
14-day change (14d)
-8.7%
30-day change (30d)
-11.3%
30-day relative strength
-10.5%
QQQ change (30d)
-0.8%
Nearest support
77.55
Distance to nearest support
0.1%
Nearest resistance
79.08
Distance to nearest resistance
1.8%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.95
  • Major: 77.55 (0.1% away, 0.02 ATR, 56 touches)
  • Minor: 76.61 (1.3% away, 0.26 ATR, 1 touches)
  • Major: 75.37 (2.9% away, 0.56 ATR, 87 touches)
  • Major: 79.08 (1.8% away, 0.35 ATR, 46 touches)
  • Major: 80.06 (3.1% away, 0.59 ATR, 42 touches)
  • Major: 81.65 (5.2% away, 0.98 ATR, 30 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+8.4%
  • May 7, 2026: actual EPS 0.57 vs estimate 0.5 (surprise +12.9%)
  • February 5, 2026: actual EPS 0.44 vs estimate 0.43 (surprise +2.8%)
  • November 6, 2025: actual EPS 0.35 vs estimate 0.33 (surprise +4.9%)
  • August 7, 2025: actual EPS 0.27 vs estimate 0.24 (surprise +13.2%)

Expected move

Implied move
+10.1%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
3%
75th percentile move
6.2%
90th percentile move
7.8%
Up / down moves
8 / 12
Average up move
+5.0%
Average down move
-3.7%

Monitoring and close

What Microchip Technology Incorporated reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS0.76
EPS estimate0.69
EPS surprise+10.1%
Revenue$1,485 million
Revenue estimate$1,458 million
Revenue surprise+1.9%

Microchip beat Q1 expectations with adjusted EPS of $0.76 and revenue of $1.485 billion. Optimism persists, though concerns remain about the growth mix.

Sources (2)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, and the price is indicating +7.0% pre-market, a move above the stock's usual reaction (about 3%). The figures overturn the prior pessimistic scenario. In the 1,458 similar cases in our market history, the close held that direction 96% of the time.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
+13.6%
Max favorable move (MFE)
2%
Max adverse move (MAE)
15.8%