MetLife, Inc. (MET) earnings on May 6, 2026
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
The stock initially rose after its earnings report but reversed course. It ended the day down after the announcement.
MET price around the earnings
78.51
Change: -2.3%
2026-05-07, 22:42 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Positive analyst outlook, but past earnings data should be considered.
Analysts are optimistic about future growth, but the company has a history of missing earnings expectations. However, a recent dividend increase is a positive sign for shareholder returns.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Positive analyst outlook, but past earnings are a key factor.
- Playbook
- The positive analyst targets and dividend increase are encouraging, but the historical tendency to miss earnings is a factor that could limit the optimistic scenario.
- Trend
- Positive analyst projections with recent dividend increase.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Analysts have set price targets that point to an optimistic scenario for the stock. The majority of analyst ratings are positive.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.89
- Analysts covering the stock
- 16
- Average price target
- 89.31
- Lowest price target
- 75
- Highest price target
- 102
- Upside to price target
- 11.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -36.3%
- Revenue growth
- 27.6%
- Forward EPS
- 10.96
- Trailing EPS
- 4.71
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 7
- Strong buy: 4
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 4
- Buy
- 8
- Hold
- 6
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- April 14, 2026 · B of A Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- April 13, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- April 10, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 9, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- April 9, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (In-Line → In-Line)
- April 8, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- March 11, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Positive
The company recently increased its regular dividend payment to shareholders. This is often seen as a sign of confidence in the company's financial stability and future prospects.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Neutral
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (7)
- MetLife Raises Quarterly Dividend From $0.5675 To $0.592/Share — Benzinga
- MetLife Says Received Notice Of An Unsolicited Mini-Tender Offer By Potemkin To Purchase Up To 100,000 Shares Of Co.; MetLife Recommends That Shareholders Do Not Tender Their Shares In Response To Potemkin's Offer — Benzinga
- B of A Securities Maintains Buy on MetLife, Lowers Price Target to $99 — Benzinga
- Mizuho Maintains Outperform on MetLife, Lowers Price Target to $93 — Benzinga
- UBS Maintains Buy on MetLife, Raises Price Target to $102 — Benzinga
- Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on MetLife, Raises Price Target to $96 — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on MetLife, Lowers Price Target to $89 — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock price is currently market review closer to a price ceiling than a price floor. This may suggest limited room for an immediate optimistic scenario.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 1.9%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -4.4%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +2.7%
- 30-day change
- +13.9%
- 30-day relative strength
- +1.9%
- Benchmark change
- +12.0%
- Nearest support
- 67.35
- Nearest resistance
- 81.52
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 0.9
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -30.0%
- February 4, 2026: actual EPS 2.49 vs estimate 2.34 (surprise +6.3%)
- November 5, 2025: actual EPS 1.22 vs estimate 2.19 (surprise -44.3%)
- August 6, 2025: actual EPS 1.03 vs estimate 2.03 (surprise -49.2%)
- April 30, 2025: actual EPS 1.28 vs estimate 1.9 (surprise -32.6%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Negative
Historically, the company has only beaten earnings expectations a quarter of the time. When earnings were reported, they were often significantly lower than anticipated.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 2.2%
- 75th percentile move
- 3.4%
- 90th percentile move
- 5.7%
- Up / down moves
- 5 / 14
- Average up move
- +1.3%
- Average down move
- -3.1%
Monitoring and close
What MetLife, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Consolidated
- -2.2%
- Max move
- -2.9%
No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.