Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) earnings on April 29, 2026

After the market closes Q1 2026

More Meta Platforms, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Meta's stock price fell sharply after the company released its earnings. The market reacted negatively, suggesting investor concerns about the company's outlook.

META price around the earnings

612.37

Change: -8.7%

2026-04-30, 20:37 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
600.03 624.70 649.38 674.05 670.94
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
April 29, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Thesis published

Growth expected, but AI spending and supply concerns create risk.

Analysts anticipate strong growth for Meta, but concerns about artificial intelligence spending and memory chip shortages introduce uncertainty. The stock has seen a moderate rally and is approaching resistance ahead of earnings.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Growth expected, but AI spending and supply concerns create risk.
Playbook
With potential headwinds from AI spending and supply issues, and the stock nearing resistance, the scenario suggests a cautious stance. The earnings report is a key factor for clarity on these concerns.
Trend
Moderate run-up, approaching resistance into earnings.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Positive

    Analysts generally hold a strong buy consensus, with an optimistic scenario for the stock.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Strong buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.33
Analysts covering the stock
60
Average price target
855.11
Lowest price target
614
Highest price target
1,015
Upside to price target
27.2%
Quarterly earnings growth
9.3%
Revenue growth
23.8%
Forward EPS
36.06
Trailing EPS
23.5
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
0
  • Strong buy: 11
  • Buy: 48
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
11
Buy
48
Hold
5
Sell
0
Strong sell
0

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Negative

    Recent reports raise questions about the return on investment for AI spending and highlight memory shortages. This creates uncertainty before the earnings announcement.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (3)
  • 'Meta Will Run Some Servers Longer in Response to Memory Shortage' - Wall Street Journal — Benzinga
  • Meta, Amazon, Google Face AI Reality Check: Can New Revenue Justify Billions In Spending? — Benzinga
  • Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Set To Report Q1 Earnings After Market Close Today—Here's What Polymarket and Kalshi Traders Expect — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Negative

    The stock has experienced optimistic momentum, but it is likely market review near resistance. This could limit further immediate price gains.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2.4%
Distance to 52-week high
-15.5%
14-day change (14d)
+6.7%
30-day change
+9.2%
30-day relative strength
+3.2%
Benchmark change
+6.0%
Nearest support
520.28
Nearest resistance
691.45
Volume accumulation ratio
0.91

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+15.5%
  • January 28, 2026: actual EPS 8.88 vs estimate 8.22 (surprise +8.0%)
  • October 29, 2025: actual EPS 7.25 vs estimate 6.67 (surprise +8.7%)
  • July 30, 2025: actual EPS 7.14 vs estimate 5.86 (surprise +21.8%)
  • April 30, 2025: actual EPS 6.43 vs estimate 5.21 (surprise +23.5%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Positive

    Meta has consistently beaten earnings expectations, with an average surprise of over 15% in the last four quarters.

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
10.6%
75th percentile move
15.8%
90th percentile move
23.6%
Up / down moves
10 / 9
Average up move
+11.2%
Average down move
-10.4%

Monitoring and close

What Meta Platforms, Inc. reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Consolidated
-8.8%
Max move
-10.6%

No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.