MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) earnings on August 5, 2026
More MercadoLibre, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
MercadoLibre's stock dropped sharply after its earnings report, falling as much as 9.5% and closing down over 5%. Concerns about profit margins weighed on the price despite some analyst price target increases.
MELI price around the earnings
1830.00
Change: -4.9%
2026-08-06, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
- Results released
Analyst upside contrasts sharply with 0% earnings beat rate and negative surprises, creating high binary risk.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Trajectory declined then recovered, but recent score is negative, highlighting binary risk due to conflicting contexts.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.54
- Analysts covering the stock
- 24
- Average price target
- 2,214.88
- Lowest price target
- 1,750
- Highest price target
- 2,800
- Upside to price target
- 15.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -15.6%
- Revenue growth
- 49%
- Forward EPS
- 58.28
- Trailing EPS
- 37.96
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 1
- Strong buy: 5
- Buy: 15
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 5
- Buy
- 15
- Hold
- 4
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- July 15, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- High
- Normalized volume
- 99%
News
Sources (3)
- $1000 Invested In MercadoLibre 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning MercadoLibre Stock In The Last 15 Years (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Citigroup Maintains Neutral on MercadoLibre, Raises Price Target to $2000 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 1,888.82
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.5%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -23.4%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +3.7%
- 30-day change (33d)
- +7.0%
- 30-day relative strength
- +5.5%
- QQQ change (33d)
- +1.6%
- Nearest support
- 1,884.53
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.2%
- Nearest resistance
- 1,902.11
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0.7%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.55
- Mid: 1,884.53 (0.2% away, 0.09 ATR, 28 touches)
- Mid: 1,873.8 (0.8% away, 0.31 ATR, 18 touches)
- Mid: 1,863.01 (1.4% away, 0.54 ATR, 27 touches)
- Mid: 1,902.11 (0.7% away, 0.28 ATR, 23 touches)
- Mid: 1,922.13 (1.8% away, 0.7 ATR, 11 touches)
- Minor: 1,938.18 (2.6% away, 1.04 ATR, 9 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -7.5%
- May 7, 2026: actual EPS 8.23 vs estimate 8.47 (surprise -2.9%)
- February 24, 2026: actual EPS 11.03 vs estimate 11.43 (surprise -3.5%)
- October 28, 2025: actual EPS 8.32 vs estimate 9.37 (surprise -11.2%)
- August 4, 2025: actual EPS 10.31 vs estimate 11.75 (surprise -12.2%)
Expected move
- Implied move
- +6.5%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 7.9%
- 75th percentile move
- 12.8%
- 90th percentile move
- 16.3%
- Up / down moves
- 14 / 6
- Average up move
- +6.9%
- Average down move
- -11.6%
Monitoring and close
What MercadoLibre, Inc. reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 9.19 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 8.58 |
| EPS surprise | +7.1% |
| Revenue | $10,200 million |
| Revenue estimate | $9,667 million |
| Revenue surprise | +5.5% |
MercadoLibre beat estimates with earnings of $9.19 per share and sales of $10.200 billion. Shares fell 3% on margin concerns. The outcome is optimistic.
Sources (3)
- MercadoLibre beats estimates but shares dip on margin concerns (opens in a new tab) — Investing.com
- MercadoLibre beat expectations with earnings of $9.19 per share and sales of $10.200 billion, above forecasts. — Benzinga
- MercadoLibre Q2 EPS $9.19 Beats $8.58 Estimate, Sales $10.200B Beat $9.667B Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Pre-market second reading after the results
- Verdict
- Beat expectations
Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, and the price is indicating -4.2% pre-market, a move below the stock's usual reaction (about 8%). The figures confirm the pessimistic scenario. In the 722 similar cases in our market history, the close held that direction 86% of the time.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -5.6%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 9.5%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 3.6%