M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) earnings on July 15, 2026
More M&T Bank Corporation earnings
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
Volatly's outlook before the earnings on July 15, 2026: No statistical edge.
MTB price around the earnings
There is no candle series available for this event.
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Q2 earnings beat confirmed pre-market (EPS +15%, Sales +2.8%); catalyst consumed. Neutral analyst consensus limits upside.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Catalyst consumed pre-market; strong beat but neutral analyst consensus and technical weakness limit upside.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 7
- July 7, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- July 6, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (In-Line → In-Line)
- July 6, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- July 6, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Underweight → Underweight)
- July 6, 2026 · Baird: Downgrades rating (Outperform → Neutral)
- June 29, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- May 21, 2026 · RBC Capital: Reiterates rating (Outperform → Outperform)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (9)
- M&T Bank Q2 Adj. EPS $5.35 Beats $4.66 Estimate, Sales $2.532B Beat $2.464B Estimate — Benzinga
- UBS Maintains Neutral on M&T Bank, Raises Price Target to $252 — Benzinga
- M&T Bank Likely To Report Higher Q2 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call — Benzinga
- Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on M&T Bank, Raises Price Target to $260 — Benzinga
- JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on M&T Bank, Raises Price Target to $251.5 — Benzinga
- Wells Fargo Maintains Underweight on M&T Bank, Raises Price Target to $215 — Benzinga
- This M&T Bank Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Monday — Benzinga
- Baird Downgrades M&T Bank to Neutral, Announces $240 Price Target — Benzinga
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on M&T Bank, Raises Price Target to $253 — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 1.7%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -0.3%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +4.5%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +11.9%
- 30-day relative strength
- +11.9%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 241.59
- Nearest resistance
- 242.92
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.07
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +5.7%
- April 15, 2026: actual EPS 4.13 vs estimate 4.02 (surprise +2.6%)
- January 16, 2026: actual EPS 4.67 vs estimate 4.47 (surprise +4.5%)
- October 16, 2025: actual EPS 4.82 vs estimate 4.39 (surprise +9.8%)
- July 16, 2025: actual EPS 4.24 vs estimate 4.01 (surprise +5.7%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 2.5%
- 75th percentile move
- 5.5%
- 90th percentile move
- 8%
- Up / down moves
- 11 / 7
- Average up move
- +4.0%
- Average down move
- -4.5%
Monitoring and close
What M&T Bank Corporation reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.