LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) earnings on May 1, 2026
More LyondellBasell Industries N.V. earnings
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
The stock fell as much as 3.6% during the day but climbed back to end slightly higher. Buyers returned after an early decline, overcoming some negative sentiment.
LYB price around the earnings
74.96
Change: +0.5%
2026-05-01, 19:59 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Recent weakness and poor earnings history overshadow analyst optimism.
The stock has recently experienced a significant sell-off, and the company has a history of missing earnings expectations. While some analysts remain positive and the stock's recent performance has improved slightly, the overall picture is still weak.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Recent weakness and poor earnings history overshadow analyst optimism.
- Playbook
- Given the recent price declines and a history of missing expectations, the scenario suggests caution. A clearer positive trend would be a key factor for a more optimistic scenario.
- Trend
- Trajectory remains weak after a sharp slide.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Some analysts have raised their price targets, and certain firms maintain a positive rating. This provides some support against the weak technical indicators, with analyst targets citing about 5% above the current price.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Hold
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.89
- Analysts covering the stock
- 17
- Average price target
- 75.06
- Lowest price target
- 50
- Highest price target
- 91
- Upside to price target
- 5.1%
- Revenue growth
- -9.2%
- Forward EPS
- 5.65
- Trailing EPS
- -2.48
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 10
- Strong buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 3
- Buy
- 2
- Hold
- 10
- Sell
- 2
- Strong sell
- 1
- April 21, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 8, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- March 30, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- March 23, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- March 19, 2026 · Deutsche Bank: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
- March 18, 2026 · UBS: Upgrades rating (Sell → Neutral)
- March 13, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- March 12, 2026 · Citigroup: Upgrades rating (Neutral → Buy)
- March 10, 2026 · Jefferies: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
- March 9, 2026 · Fermium Research: Upgrades rating (Hold → Buy)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
The stock was recently highlighted as one of the biggest percentage losers among large companies last week. This reinforces negative sentiment, even though some individual analysts are positive.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (5)
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on LyondellBasell Industries, Raises Price Target to $77 — Benzinga
- Venture Global, Alcoa, And LyondellBasell Are Among Top 10 Large-Cap Losers Last Week (April 13-April 17): Are the Others in Your Portfolio? — Benzinga
- Citigroup Maintains Buy on LyondellBasell Industries, Raises Price Target to $90 — Benzinga
- Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on LyondellBasell Industries, Raises Price Target to $87 — Benzinga
- Mizuho Maintains Neutral on LyondellBasell Industries, Raises Price Target to $74 — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock's momentum over the last 14 days has been negative, and its price is currently near a support level. This suggests that selling pressure is ongoing and the short-term outlook is pessimistic.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 5.6%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -14.9%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -6.8%
- 30-day change
- +8.9%
- 30-day relative strength
- +5.1%
- Benchmark change
- +3.8%
- Nearest support
- 64.19
- Nearest resistance
- 83.87
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 1.07
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -56.0%
- January 30, 2026: actual EPS -0.26 vs estimate 0.25 (surprise -204.9%)
- October 31, 2025: actual EPS 1.01 vs estimate 0.8 (surprise +25.9%)
- August 1, 2025: actual EPS 0.62 vs estimate 0.78 (surprise -20.8%)
- April 25, 2025: actual EPS 0.33 vs estimate 0.43 (surprise -24.0%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 1.8%
- 75th percentile move
- 3.2%
- 90th percentile move
- 4.2%
- Up / down moves
- 8 / 11
- Average up move
- +1.6%
- Average down move
- -2.5%
Monitoring and close
What LyondellBasell Industries N.V. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Consolidated
- +0.5%
- Max move
- -3.6%
No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.