The Kroger Co. (KR) earnings on June 18, 2026
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
Kroger's stock price dropped considerably following its earnings report. The decline was driven by missed expectations and a weak forecast, despite an early positive move.
KR price around the earnings
56.78
Change: -8.2%
2026-06-19, 00:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
Analysts expect price gains, but risks remain.
Analysts foresee potential price increases, with a positive outlook and a history of exceeding earnings expectations. However, recent price movements show a downward trend, and broader economic challenges are a concern.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Analysts point to an optimistic scenario, but risks remain.
- Reasoning
- Analysts point to an optimistic scenario, with a positive outlook and a history of exceeding earnings expectations. However, recent price movements show a downward trend, and broader economic challenges are a concern.
- Playbook
- The stock has a strong history of beating earnings estimates, and analysts have set price targets pointing to an optimistic scenario. Recent price action, however, has been negative, indicating prevailing downward pressure.
- Trend
- Expert opinion deteriorating significantly in recent days.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Analysts have issued buy ratings with price targets citing a potential upside of over 20%. This view is based on 22 different opinions.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.08
- Analysts covering the stock
- 22
- Average price target
- 75.36
- Lowest price target
- 61
- Highest price target
- 86
- Upside to price target
- 21.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 35.8%
- Revenue growth
- 1.2%
- Forward EPS
- 5.61
- Trailing EPS
- 1.54
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 1
- Strong buy: 0
- Buy: 11
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 11
- Hold
- 13
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- June 11, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
Despite a high level of positive sentiment expressed online, this could context a crowded case and potential risk.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (6)
- Accenture, Kroger And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday — Benzinga
- Kroger Likely To Report Higher Q1 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call — Benzinga
- Top Three Stocks To Watch This Week: SpaceX, Accenture, Kroger — Benzinga
- How To Earn $500 A Month From Kroger Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings — Benzinga
- JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Kroger, Lowers Price Target to $70 — Benzinga
- 'Kroger Plans Biggest Price Cuts In Years to Take On Walmart, Costco' - Bloomberg CEO Interview — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock's recent price trend is negative, showing declines over the last 14 and 30 days. The trajectory has been downward.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.7%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -17.8%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -2.9%
- 30-day change (30d)
- -7.7%
- 30-day relative strength
- -7.7%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 61.31
- Nearest resistance
- 62.06
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.65
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +3.7%
- March 5, 2026: actual EPS 1.28 vs estimate 1.2 (surprise +6.5%)
- December 4, 2025: actual EPS 1.05 vs estimate 1.03 (surprise +1.7%)
- September 11, 2025: actual EPS 1.04 vs estimate 1 (surprise +4.3%)
- June 20, 2025: actual EPS 1.49 vs estimate 1.46 (surprise +2.2%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
The company has a strong recent record of exceeding earnings expectations for the last four quarters. The average surprise was 3.7%.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 4.7%
- 75th percentile move
- 7.5%
- 90th percentile move
- 10.1%
- Up / down moves
- 13 / 6
- Average up move
- +5.8%
- Average down move
- -3.6%
Monitoring and close
What The Kroger Co. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -8.4%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 10.8%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 1.6%