The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) earnings on August 26, 2026

Before the market opens Q2 2026

More The J. M. Smucker Company earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic

Volatly's outlook before the earnings on August 26, 2026: Optimistic.

SJM price around the earnings

130.90

Change: +4.4%

2026-08-26, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
124.94 129.16 133.37 137.59 125.40
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
August 26, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic

Thesis published

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Modest expectations, the scenario is optimistic.
Reasoning
The stock has been rising steadily, and analysts are positive with a buy rating, but the price target offers only a small upside. The company's earnings history is mixed, and the stock is market review in a tight range.
Playbook
The stock has climbed over the past month, slightly outperforming the market, but it's stuck in a narrow range. Analysts are positive but see limited upside, and the earnings history is mixed.
Trend
No trend data available

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Neutral

    Analysts have a buy rating (2.11) with a target price of $128, but that's only 1.8% above current levels, limiting the potential reward.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
2.11
Analysts covering the stock
16
Average price target
127.69
Lowest price target
107
Highest price target
142
Upside to price target
1.8%
Revenue growth
5.8%
Forward EPS
10.77
Trailing EPS
-1.29
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
5
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
7
Hold
9
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • August 20, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • August 19, 2026 · Jefferies: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • August 19, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
  • August 14, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • July 23, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Positive

    Wall Street forecast revisions are positive ahead of Q1 earnings, with three positive news items versus one negative.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
High
Normalized volume
99%

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Positive

    The stock is up 7% over two weeks and 6% over a month, slightly beating the market. It's market review in a tight range between $125.29 and $126.12, suggesting consolidation.

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
125.57
Average true range (ATR)
2%
Distance to 52-week high
-0.3%
14-day change (14d)
+7.0%
30-day change (32d)
+6.1%
30-day relative strength
+2.5%
SPY change (32d)
+3.6%
Nearest support
125.29
Distance to nearest support
0.2%
Nearest resistance
126.12
Distance to nearest resistance
0.4%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.67
  • Mid: 125.29 (0.2% away, 0.11 ATR, 5 touches)
  • Minor: 124.68 (0.7% away, 0.35 ATR, 6 touches)
  • Mid: 123.88 (1.3% away, 0.66 ATR, 4 touches)
  • Mid: 126.12 (0.4% away, 0.22 ATR, 6 touches)
  • Minor: 126.88 (1.1% away, 0.52 ATR, 1 touches)
  • Mid: 127.58 (1.6% away, 0.79 ATR, 3 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+2.2%
  • June 9, 2026: actual EPS 2.77 vs estimate 2.64 (surprise +5.0%)
  • February 26, 2026: actual EPS 2.38 vs estimate 2.26 (surprise +5.2%)
  • November 25, 2025: actual EPS 2.1 vs estimate 2.1 (surprise -0.0%)
  • August 27, 2025: actual EPS 1.9 vs estimate 1.93 (surprise -1.4%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Neutral

    The company beats earnings expectations 50% of the time, with an average surprise of +2.2%. Recent results have been mixed.

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
4%
75th percentile move
5.7%
90th percentile move
9%
Up / down moves
11 / 9
Average up move
+4.6%
Average down move
-4.6%

Monitoring and close

What The J. M. Smucker Company reported

Status
Pending

Sources (1)

  • Official quarterly figures pending confirmation. — Yahoo Finance + Finnhub

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted