Intel Corporation (INTC) earnings on July 23, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Intel Corporation earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

Intel's stock swung wildly after earnings, briefly surging then closing lower, as investors reacted to a strong quarter offset by a massive spending plan.

INTC price around the earnings

92.32

Change: -7.9%

2026-07-24, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
92.02 99.12 106.22 113.32 100.23
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
July 23, 2026 July 24, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

Thesis published
Results released

Pre-release: Extreme negative trend strength and recent layoff news overwhelm elite historical beats; weak analyst conviction limits optimistic scenario.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Persistently negative trajectory with extreme trend strength collapse; recent stabilization insufficient to offset structural

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Hold
Consensus average (1-5)
2.6
Analysts covering the stock
40
Average price target
108.63
Lowest price target
45
Highest price target
200
Upside to price target
8.6%
Revenue growth
7.2%
Forward EPS
1.62
Trailing EPS
-0.6
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
10
  • Strong buy: 2
  • Buy: 11
  • Hold: 31
  • Sell: 2
  • Strong sell: 1
Strong buy
2
Buy
11
Hold
31
Sell
2
Strong sell
1
  • July 20, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
  • July 16, 2026 · Susquehanna: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 14, 2026 · Keybanc: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • July 13, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 13, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
  • July 10, 2026 · Stifel: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
  • June 29, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • June 25, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Initiates coverage (Sell → Neutral)
  • June 23, 2026 · B of A Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • June 11, 2026 · B of A Securities: Upgrades rating (Underperform → Buy)

Technicals

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
7.8%
Distance to 52-week high
-29.0%
14-day change (14d)
-7.0%
30-day change (30d)
-27.2%
30-day relative strength
-22.8%
QQQ change (30d)
-4.5%
Nearest support
101.76
Nearest resistance
104.25
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.91

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+1035.5%
  • April 23, 2026: actual EPS 0.29 vs estimate 0.01 (surprise +2108.7%)
  • January 22, 2026: actual EPS 0.15 vs estimate 0.08 (surprise +81.5%)
  • October 23, 2025: actual EPS 0.23 vs estimate 0.01 (surprise +3121.3%)
  • July 24, 2025: actual EPS -0.1 vs estimate 0.01 (surprise -1169.5%)

Expected move

Implied move
+15.7%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
8%
75th percentile move
11%
90th percentile move
17.7%
Up / down moves
7 / 13
Average up move
+8.9%
Average down move
-9.9%

Monitoring and close

What Intel Corporation reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS0.42
EPS estimate0.21
EPS surprise+100.0%
Revenue$16,128 million
Revenue estimate$14,417 million
Revenue surprise+11.9%

Intel reported second-quarter adjusted earnings of 42 cents per share, beating the 21-cent estimate. Revenue rose to $16.1 billion from $14.4 billion expected, marking its strongest quarterly revenue growth in 15 years.

Sources (45)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, the figures don't clearly confirm the prior scenario.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Accurate
Consolidated
-7.9%
Max favorable move (MFE)
8.6%
Max adverse move (MAE)
13.4%