Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) earnings on July 28, 2026

Before the market opens Q2 2026

More Illinois Tool Works Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

The stock opened higher and closed up 3.63%, reversing what some analysts expected after the company reported earnings that beat expectations.

ITW price around the earnings

295.16

Change: +3.6%

2026-07-28, 20:00 UTC

End of the measured window
278.15 285.40 292.64 299.89 284.82
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
July 28, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

Consistent 100% earnings beat history with +6.37% trend strength, but analyst Hold consensus with -1.7% downside conflicts with extreme retail optimism.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Oscillating trajectory (-5.8 to +22.0) reflects conflicting contexts; retail extreme vs analyst neutral creates divergenc

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Hold
Consensus average (1-5)
3.25
Analysts covering the stock
14
Average price target
280.05
Lowest price target
219
Highest price target
317
Upside to price target
-1.7%
Quarterly earnings growth
9.7%
Revenue growth
4.6%
Forward EPS
12.18
Trailing EPS
10.85
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
2
  • Strong buy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 3
  • Strong sell: 1
Strong buy
1
Buy
1
Hold
10
Sell
3
Strong sell
1
  • July 13, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
  • July 2, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%

Technicals

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
1.9%
Distance to 52-week high
-3.8%
14-day change (14d)
+4.8%
30-day change (31d)
+6.4%
30-day relative strength
+5.1%
SPY change (31d)
+1.3%
Nearest support
284.31
Nearest resistance
286.69
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.86

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+2.2%
  • April 30, 2026: actual EPS 2.66 vs estimate 2.56 (surprise +3.8%)
  • February 3, 2026: actual EPS 2.72 vs estimate 2.69 (surprise +1.1%)
  • October 24, 2025: actual EPS 2.81 vs estimate 2.72 (surprise +3.5%)
  • July 30, 2025: actual EPS 2.58 vs estimate 2.56 (surprise +0.6%)

Expected move

Implied move
+1.6%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
2.1%
75th percentile move
3.6%
90th percentile move
4.6%
Up / down moves
9 / 11
Average up move
+2.6%
Average down move
-2.3%

Monitoring and close

What Illinois Tool Works Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS2.84
EPS estimate2.79
EPS surprise+1.8%
Revenue$4,301 million
Revenue estimate$4,189 million
Revenue surprise+2.7%

Illinois Tool Works beat Q2 estimates and raised its 2026 guidance. Shares rose after reporting record revenue and margin expansion.

Sources (17)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, the figures don't clearly confirm the prior scenario.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
+3.6%
Max favorable move (MFE)
0%
Max adverse move (MAE)
5.5%