The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) earnings on August 18, 2026
More The Home Depot, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
Home Depot's earnings beat expectations, but the stock gave up early gains and closed nearly flat, down 0.12%.
HD price around the earnings
337.49
Change: -0.1%
2026-08-18, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Partial
- Thesis published
- Results released
Cautious outlook — trend weak, uncertainty ahead
The setup looks weak: the stock's trend has been losing strength and it's lagging the broader market, which outweighed the more optimistic analyst price targets. A recent leadership change adds uncertainty, so the overall outlook is cautious.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Cautious outlook — trend weak, uncertainty ahead
- Playbook
- The stock is market review near its support level, with resistance just above. Recent price action shows a downtrend, and retail sentiment is pessimistic, aligning with the negative price trend.
- Trend
- Analyst confidence dropped sharply over recent days
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Analysts cite a price target of $375, about 11% above current levels. They expect moderate earnings growth, with an average rating of 'buy'.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.94
- Analysts covering the stock
- 32
- Average price target
- 374.69
- Lowest price target
- 310
- Highest price target
- 430
- Upside to price target
- 10.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -4.2%
- Revenue growth
- 4.8%
- Forward EPS
- 16.09
- Trailing EPS
- 14.06
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 6
- Strong buy: 4
- Buy: 17
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 4
- Buy
- 17
- Hold
- 15
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- August 17, 2026 · Stifel: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
- August 12, 2026 · RBC Capital: Maintains rating (Sector Perform → Sector Perform)
- August 11, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- July 27, 2026 · DA Davidson: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- July 20, 2026 · Guggenheim: Reiterates rating (Buy → Buy)
- June 23, 2026 · Wolfe Research: Downgrades rating (Outperform → Peer Perform)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
A recent leadership change adds uncertainty. Retail investors are mostly pessimistic, which aligns with the negative price trend.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Cautious
- Mention volume
- High
- Normalized volume
- 99%
News
Sources (5)
- Home Depot, Toll Brothers And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Tuesday (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Walmart Could Swing $42.1 Billion In Value After Earnings (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Could Swing $14.6 Billion After Earnings (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Q2 Preview: Data Shows Visits Down, Will Earnings Say Otherwise? (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Earnings Prediction Market Preview: Will CEO Ted Decker Talk About Tariffs? (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock's trend has been weakening over the past two weeks and it's underperforming the broader market by about 4%. It's currently near a support level, with resistance just above.
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 338.32
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.3%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -18.3%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -0.5%
- 30-day change (31d)
- -0.2%
- 30-day relative strength
- -4.1%
- SPY change (31d)
- +4.0%
- Nearest support
- 337.98
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.1%
- Nearest resistance
- 339.17
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0.3%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.83
- Mid: 337.98 (0.1% away, 0.04 ATR, 20 touches)
- Mid: 335.63 (0.8% away, 0.35 ATR, 23 touches)
- Mid: 332.92 (1.6% away, 0.7 ATR, 18 touches)
- Mid: 339.17 (0.3% away, 0.11 ATR, 12 touches)
- Major: 341.3 (0.9% away, 0.39 ATR, 28 touches)
- Mid: 343.15 (1.4% away, 0.63 ATR, 20 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +1.4%
- May 19, 2026: actual EPS 3.43 vs estimate 3.41 (surprise +0.7%)
- February 24, 2026: actual EPS 2.72 vs estimate 2.52 (surprise +7.8%)
- November 18, 2025: actual EPS 3.74 vs estimate 3.83 (surprise -2.5%)
- August 19, 2025: actual EPS 4.68 vs estimate 4.69 (surprise -0.3%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Neutral
The company has beaten earnings estimates only half the time, with an average surprise of +1.4%. This inconsistent history adds uncertainty.
- Implied move
- +3.0%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 2.1%
- 75th percentile move
- 4.6%
- 90th percentile move
- 6.1%
- Up / down moves
- 12 / 8
- Average up move
- +2.5%
- Average down move
- -3.8%
Monitoring and close
What The Home Depot, Inc. reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 4.92 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 4.73 |
| EPS surprise | +4.0% |
| Revenue | $47,861 million |
| Revenue estimate | $47,271 million |
| Revenue surprise | +1.2% |
Home Depot shares rise after beating expectations with $47.9 billion in revenue. Nasdaq falls as chip stocks decline; Micron and Sandisk drop.
Sources (38)
- Home Depot Stock Rises After $47.9 Billion Earnings Beat (opens in a new tab) — GuruFocus.com
- US Debt Nearing $40T; Home Depot earnings Better Than Expected (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Results Beat Estimates, Overcoming Housing Slump (opens in a new tab) — Bloomberg
- Micron, Coherent, SpaceX, Home Depot, Klarna, Amylyx, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market (opens in a new tab) — Barrons.com
- Top Midday Stories: Home Depot Q2 EPS, Revenue Top Estimates; Klarna Cuts Guidance, Plans CFO, CMO Transitions (opens in a new tab) — MT Newswires
- Home Depot Tops Earnings Estimates and Holds Its Outlook Steady, Amid ‘Frozen’ Housing Market (opens in a new tab) — Investopedia
- Home Depot Q2 Earnings Call Highlights (opens in a new tab) — MarketBeat
- Home Depot Posts Its Best Comparable Sales Since 2022 (opens in a new tab) — GuruFocus.com
- Home Depot customers stick to smaller projects as housing costs stay high (opens in a new tab) — Fox Business
- Target and Home Depot take center stage as investors size up consumers (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo Finance Video
- Home Depot Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot (HD) Puts Express Delivery Nationwide And Raises The Stakes Online (opens in a new tab) — Simply Wall St.
- Home Depot posts 5.7% rise in Q2 net sales (opens in a new tab) — Retail Insight Network
- Nasdaq Down Over 1%; Home Depot Earnings Top Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Customers Make Fewer Trips but Spend More (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Stock Rises as Earnings Defy Housing Slump (opens in a new tab) — Barrons.com
- Home Depot, Klarna Q2 earnings shed light on strength of the consumer (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo Finance Video
- Home Depot Exec Says Co. Received $730M In Tariff Refunds In Q2 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Exec Says Received IEEPA Tariff Refunds Reduced Cost Of Goods Sold By $685M In Q2 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Fiscal Second-Quarter Results Top Street Views; Maintains Full-Year Outlook (opens in a new tab) — MT Newswires
- HD Stock Gains On Q2 Beat: Home Depot Reaffirms Guidance, CFO Says Tariff Refunds Help 'Maintain Value' (opens in a new tab) — Stocktwits
- The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript (opens in a new tab) — SeekingAlpha
- Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Futures Fall as Trump Rejects Extending Ceasefire With Iran—Home Depot, Super League, Flexsteel in Focus (UPDATED) (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Beats Estimates in a “Frozen” Housing Market (opens in a new tab) — Moby
- Home Depot Tops Q2 Forecasts and Maintains Fiscal 2026 Guidance (opens in a new tab) — InvestorsHub
- Home Depot & Toll Brothers earnings, Housing starts & building permits data: What to watch on Tuesday (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo Finance Video
- Earnings live updates: Klarna stock plunges on trimmed guidance, Home Depot gains (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo Finance
- Home Depot Q2 earnings beat Wall Street's forecast as customers stick to small projects (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo Finance
- Home Depot CFO Says Homeowners Are Willing To Tackle Smaller Projects, While Remaining Frozen On Large Renovations (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Posts Higher Sales, Backs Outlook (opens in a new tab) — The Wall Street Journal
- Home Depot sales lifted by customers focusing on smaller projects, but sticks with previous outlook (opens in a new tab) — Associated Press
- Home Depot Q2 Comparable Sales +1.7%, Comparable Sales US +1.3% (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Affirms FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance of $14.69-$15.28 vs $14.96 Est; Affirm FY2026 Sales Guidance of $168.800B-$172.093B vs $170.958B Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot Affirms FY2026 GAAP EPS Guidance of $14.23-$14.80 vs $14.48 Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Home Depot beat expectations in Q2: adjusted earnings of $4.92 per share and sales of $47.861 billion, above forecasts. — Benzinga
- Home Depot Q2 Adj. EPS $4.92 Beats $4.73 Estimate, Sales $47.861B Beat $47.271B Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Fall as Trump Rejects Extending Ceasefire With Iran—Home Depot, Super League, Flexsteel in Focus (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Stocks to Watch: BHP, Western Digital, Home Depot, Baidu (opens in a new tab) — The Wall Street Journal
Pre-market second reading after the results
- Verdict
- Beat expectations
Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue, and the price is indicating +2.0% pre-market, a move in line with the stock's usual reaction (about 2%). The figures don't confirm the prior scenario: the comparable cases aren't consistent enough.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Partial
- Consolidated
- -0.1%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 2.1%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 4.1%