The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) earnings on July 23, 2026
More The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
Hartford Financial reported better-than-expected quarterly results and a new buyback plan, but the stock fell slightly after a sharp intraday drop.
HIG price around the earnings
140.53
Change: -1.2%
2026-07-24, 20:00 UTC
Start of the measured window
End of the measured window
135.10
137.57
140.03
142.50
142.18
July 23, 2026
July 24, 2026
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
- Results released
Pre-release: Strong trend strength and historical beats, but recent EPS miss and mixed analyst views temper expectations.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Volatile trajectory, ending with a sharp negative move into earnings despite earlier positive trend strength.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.3
- Analysts covering the stock
- 20
- Average price target
- 149.1
- Lowest price target
- 135
- Highest price target
- 165
- Upside to price target
- 5.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 35.9%
- Revenue growth
- 6.1%
- Forward EPS
- 13.83
- Trailing EPS
- 14.21
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 10
- Strong buy: 2
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 2
- Buy
- 7
- Hold
- 14
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- July 20, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- July 15, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Downgrades rating (Overweight → Neutral)
- July 10, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (In-Line → In-Line)
- July 9, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- July 9, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- July 9, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- July 8, 2026 · Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: Maintains rating (Market Perform → Market Perform)
- June 12, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- June 11, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- June 5, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (7)
- JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on The Hartford Insurance Gr, Raises Price Target to $152 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Piper Sandler Downgrades The Hartford Insurance Gr to Neutral, Lowers Price Target to $146 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on The Hartford Insurance Gr, Raises Price Target to $146 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on The Hartford Insurance Gr, Raises Price Target to $165 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Cantor Fitzgerald Maintains Overweight on The Hartford Insurance Gr, Raises Price Target to $158 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Mizuho Maintains Outperform on The Hartford Insurance Gr, Raises Price Target to $163 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on The Hartford Insurance Gr, Raises Price Target to $143 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 1.9%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -0.3%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +1.5%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +8.8%
- 30-day relative strength
- +8.3%
- SPY change (30d)
- +0.4%
- Nearest support
- 139.89
- Nearest resistance
- 141.39
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.1
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +12.9%
- April 23, 2026: actual EPS 3.09 vs estimate 3.39 (surprise -8.8%)
- January 29, 2026: actual EPS 4.06 vs estimate 3.22 (surprise +26.2%)
- October 27, 2025: actual EPS 3.77 vs estimate 3.31 (surprise +13.8%)
- July 28, 2025: actual EPS 3.41 vs estimate 2.83 (surprise +20.4%)
Expected move
- Implied move
- +1.4%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 2.5%
- 75th percentile move
- 3.7%
- 90th percentile move
- 5.2%
- Up / down moves
- 9 / 11
- Average up move
- +3.0%
- Average down move
- -2.8%
Monitoring and close
What The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 3.42 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 3.22 |
| EPS surprise | +6.2% |
| Revenue | $7,263 million |
| Revenue estimate | $7,196 million |
| Revenue surprise | +0.9% |
Hartford reported Q2 earnings that beat expectations with adjusted profit of $3.42 per share on revenue of $7.26 billion. The board authorized a new $4.2 billion share buyback program and AM Best affirmed its rating.
Sources (7)
- Hartford (NYSE:HIG) Reports Q2 CY2026 In Line With Expectations (opens in a new tab) — StockStory
- Hartford Insurance Group (HIG) Adds A Director And Confirms Dividends, Is It A Bargain? (opens in a new tab) — Simply Wall St.
- Hartford Insurance Group (NYSE:HIG) Beats Q2 Earnings Estimates, Strong Buyback Signals Quality Stock (opens in a new tab) — ChartMill
- Hartford Insurance Group's Board Authorizes New $4.2B Share Repurchase Program (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Hartford Finl Servs Gr Q2 Adj. EPS $3.42 Beats $3.22 Estimate, Sales $7.263B Beat $7.196B Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- The Hartford Reports Strong Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo
- Hartford Financial beat expectations with adjusted EPS of $3.42 versus $3.22 estimate, and revenue of $7.263B above $7.196B. — Benzinga
Pre-market second reading after the results
- Verdict
- Beat expectations
Heading into the open, the figures confirm the pessimistic scenario. In the 713 past cases with a similar move, the close held that direction 86% of the time.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -1.2%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 5.6%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 0.4%