Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) earnings on July 29, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Fortinet, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

The stock jumped early but gave up much of those gains, closing slightly higher after the earnings report.

FTNT price around the earnings

154.25

Change: +0.7%

2026-07-30, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
151.70 159.17 166.63 174.10 153.22
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
July 29, 2026 July 30, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

100% earnings beat history with +16.7% avg surprise contrasts with hold rating, -10.8% analyst downside, and sharp recent selloff.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Sharp deterioration from +31.1 to -31.4 in two days; negative trend strength overwhelms historical earnings edge.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Hold
Consensus average (1-5)
2.7
Analysts covering the stock
37
Average price target
135.57
Lowest price target
86
Highest price target
215
Upside to price target
-10.8%
Quarterly earnings growth
23.3%
Revenue growth
20.1%
Forward EPS
3.43
Trailing EPS
2.58
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
10
  • Strong buy: 1
  • Buy: 10
  • Hold: 28
  • Sell: 3
  • Strong sell: 2
Strong buy
1
Buy
10
Hold
28
Sell
3
Strong sell
2
  • July 28, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Maintains rating (In-Line → In-Line)
  • July 23, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 22, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 21, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 21, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Upgrades rating (Underweight → Equal-Weight)
  • July 20, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Underweight → Underweight)
  • July 15, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Underperform → Underperform)
  • July 13, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 13, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
  • July 10, 2026 · BTIG: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%

Technicals

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
149.9
Average true range (ATR)
3.7%
Distance to 52-week high
-8.9%
14-day change (14d)
-10.2%
30-day change (32d)
-0.9%
30-day relative strength
+3.4%
QQQ change (32d)
-4.3%
Nearest support
148.89
Distance to nearest support
0.7%
Nearest resistance
150.69
Distance to nearest resistance
0.5%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.69
  • Minor: 148.89 (0.7% away, 0.18 ATR, 8 touches)
  • Mid: 146.18 (2.5% away, 0.68 ATR, 10 touches)
  • Mid: 144.5 (3.6% away, 0.99 ATR, 20 touches)
  • Minor: 150.69 (0.5% away, 0.15 ATR, 9 touches)
  • Mid: 152.83 (2% away, 0.54 ATR, 19 touches)
  • Mid: 154.57 (3.1% away, 0.85 ATR, 25 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+16.7%
  • May 6, 2026: actual EPS 0.82 vs estimate 0.62 (surprise +32.6%)
  • February 5, 2026: actual EPS 0.81 vs estimate 0.74 (surprise +8.9%)
  • November 5, 2025: actual EPS 0.74 vs estimate 0.63 (surprise +16.9%)
  • August 6, 2025: actual EPS 0.64 vs estimate 0.59 (surprise +8.3%)

Expected move

Implied move
+12.0%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
9.1%
75th percentile move
14.3%
90th percentile move
22.3%
Up / down moves
10 / 10
Average up move
+9.0%
Average down move
-11.5%

Monitoring and close

What Fortinet, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS0.9
EPS estimate0.75
EPS surprise+20.0%
Revenue$2,048 million
Revenue estimate$1,889 million
Revenue surprise+8.4%

Fortinet beats Q2 estimates, driven by AI and security demand. Citigroup maintains Neutral, raises price target to $185.

Sources (36)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue and the price is indicating +11.0% pre-market, a move in line with the stock's usual reaction (about 9%). The figures overturn the prior pessimistic scenario. Across our market history, in the 1,421 similar cases the close held that direction 96% of the time.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
+0.7%
Max favorable move (MFE)
0.7%
Max adverse move (MAE)
14.2%