Ford Motor Company (F) earnings on April 29, 2026

After the market closes Q1 2026

More Ford Motor Company earnings

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Ford shares declined following its earnings release, despite a slight recovery from the day's low. The market reacted negatively to the news.

F price around the earnings

12.08

Change: -1.2%

2026-04-30, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
11.49 11.74 11.99 12.24 12.23
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
April 29, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: No statistical edge

Thesis published

Underperforming market, uncertain EV strategy, neutral outlook.

Ford is currently performing worse than the broader market, and its electric vehicle strategy faces uncertainty. While analysts have a neutral outlook, the high expected price volatility suggests a cautious scenario.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Underperforming market, uncertain EV strategy, neutral outlook.
Reasoning
Ford is currently performing worse than the broader market, and its electric vehicle strategy faces uncertainty. While analysts have a neutral outlook, the high expected price volatility is a key factor.
Playbook
Given the mixed contexts and underperformance, the scenario suggests waiting until the EV strategy becomes clearer and market momentum improves. Analyst ratings are a key factor.
Trend
Neutral price trend, no significant changes.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Neutral

    Analysts are generally holding a neutral stance on the stock, with an average price target pointing to a modestly optimistic scenario.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Hold
Consensus average (1-5)
2.68
Analysts covering the stock
20
Average price target
13.78
Lowest price target
10
Highest price target
18
Upside to price target
13.4%
Revenue growth
-4.8%
Forward EPS
1.86
Trailing EPS
-2.06
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
4
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
3
Hold
15
Sell
1
Strong sell
0
  • April 15, 2026 · TD Cowen: Maintains rating (Hold → Hold)
  • April 14, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • April 14, 2026 · UBS: Upgrades rating (Neutral → Buy)
  • March 31, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Underweight → Underweight)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Neutral

    While earnings previews suggest higher profits, there's significant focus on the unclear delivery of the company's electric vehicle transition.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Neutral
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (6)
  • Ford Likely To Report Higher Q1 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call — Benzinga
  • Ford Q1 Preview: The EV Shift Looked Bold — Now We See What It Delivers — Benzinga
  • Ford's 2,200 HP All-Electric Mustang Just Blitzed Past Previous Quarter-Mile Record — Benzinga
  • 'Ford Motor Co. Denied A News Report That It Has Held Talks With Geely Automobile Holdings About Bringing Chinese Car Technology To The US Market' - Bloomberg News — Benzinga
  • 'Ford, Geely Held Talks About Bringing Chinese Tech To America; The Automakers Have Discussed A Tie-Up In Europe, But Any U.S. Collaboration Would Be Politically Fraught' - WSJ Exclusive — Benzinga
  • Ford Stock Nears Dreaded Death Cross As EV Setback Sinks In — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Negative

    The stock's recent performance is weak compared to the overall market, indicating a potential for continued underperformance.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2.4%
Distance to 52-week high
-17.9%
14-day change (14d)
+0.2%
30-day change
+3.0%
30-day relative strength
-2.9%
Benchmark change
+6.0%
Nearest support
11.12
Nearest resistance
13.04
Volume accumulation ratio
0.73

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+124.3%
  • February 10, 2026: actual EPS -2.77 vs estimate -3.38 (surprise +18.0%)
  • October 23, 2025: actual EPS 0.45 vs estimate 0.36 (surprise +25.4%)
  • July 30, 2025: actual EPS -0.01 vs estimate 0.31 (surprise -103.2%)
  • May 5, 2025: actual EPS 0.14 vs estimate 0.02 (surprise +557.0%)

Expected move

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
5.8%
75th percentile move
8.8%
90th percentile move
12.3%
Up / down moves
10 / 8
Average up move
+4.5%
Average down move
-8.6%

Monitoring and close

What Ford Motor Company reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Consolidated
-1.3%
Max move
-6.2%

No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.