Fastenal Company (FAST) earnings on July 14, 2026
More Fastenal Company earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
The stock jumped as much as 5.8% during the day but gave up those gains and closed 2.8% lower, a swing of nearly 10 percentage points from peak to trough.
FAST price around the earnings
45.74
Change: -2.8%
2026-07-14, 20:00 UTC
End of the measured window
44.33
45.86
47.39
48.92
47.05
July 14, 2026
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
Neutral analyst consensus with new Buy initiation; 75% beat rate but minimal +1.6% avg surprise; extreme retail crowding contradicts modest company numbers.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Persistent downside pressure from -50.3 to -29.2; recent rebound insufficient to reverse negative reads.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 5
- Strong buy: 0
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 2
- Strong sell: 3
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 6
- Hold
- 7
- Sell
- 2
- Strong sell
- 3
- July 13, 2026 · Rothschild & Co: Initiates coverage (Buy)
- July 8, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- July 6, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- June 16, 2026 · DA Davidson: Initiates coverage (Neutral)
- June 3, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (7)
- This Fastenal Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Monday — Benzinga
- Rothschild & Co Initiates Coverage On Fastenal with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $55 — Benzinga
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Fastenal, Raises Price Target to $48 — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Fastenal, Raises Price Target to $47 — Benzinga
- Fastenal Likely To Report Higher Q2 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call — Benzinga
- Here's How Much $100 Invested In Fastenal 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today — Benzinga
- DA Davidson Initiates Coverage On Fastenal with Neutral Rating, Announces Price Target of $46 — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.3%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -5.1%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +2.0%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +5.1%
- 30-day relative strength
- +5.1%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 46.65
- Nearest resistance
- 47.3
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.44
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +1.6%
- April 13, 2026: actual EPS 0.3 vs estimate 0.3 (surprise +0.7%)
- January 20, 2026: actual EPS 0.26 vs estimate 0.26 (surprise +0.5%)
- October 13, 2025: actual EPS 0.29 vs estimate 0.3 (surprise -2.2%)
- July 14, 2025: actual EPS 0.29 vs estimate 0.27 (surprise +7.3%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 3.5%
- 75th percentile move
- 6.7%
- 90th percentile move
- 7.6%
- Up / down moves
- 10 / 9
- Average up move
- +4.7%
- Average down move
- -4.0%
Monitoring and close
What Fastenal Company reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -2.8%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 5.8%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 4.2%