Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) earnings on July 28, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More Expand Energy Corporation earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate

The stock rose nearly 5% after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly results and announced a major acquisition and share buyback plan.

EXE price around the earnings

92.46

Change: +4.5%

2026-07-29, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
87.56 89.39 91.21 93.04 88.52
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)
July 28, 2026 July 29, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate

Thesis published
Results released

Strong 75% earnings beat history with $1.25B acquisition catalyst and +40.4% analyst upside; recent PT cuts provide a reference level.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Trajectory improved from 25.7 to 77.2 over 7 days; the recent trend has been strong building into event.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.58
Analysts covering the stock
25
Average price target
124.12
Lowest price target
92
Highest price target
160
Upside to price target
40.4%
Revenue growth
41%
Forward EPS
8.42
Trailing EPS
13.44
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
4
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 17
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
17
Hold
6
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • July 10, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 10, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 9, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • June 29, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%

Technicals

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2.6%
Distance to 52-week high
-27.2%
14-day change (14d)
+3.8%
30-day change (31d)
+2.3%
30-day relative strength
+1.0%
SPY change (31d)
+1.3%
Nearest support
90.02
Nearest resistance
90.99
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
1.35

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+5.3%
  • April 28, 2026: actual EPS 3.83 vs estimate 3.63 (surprise +5.4%)
  • February 17, 2026: actual EPS 2 vs estimate 1.89 (surprise +5.8%)
  • October 28, 2025: actual EPS 0.97 vs estimate 0.85 (surprise +14.2%)
  • July 29, 2025: actual EPS 1.1 vs estimate 1.15 (surprise -4.1%)

Expected move

Implied move
+1.8%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
3.2%
75th percentile move
3.7%
90th percentile move
4.6%
Up / down moves
12 / 8
Average up move
+3.0%
Average down move
-2.7%

Monitoring and close

What Expand Energy Corporation reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS1.33
EPS estimate1.13
EPS surprise+17.7%
Revenue$2,960 million
Revenue estimate$2,815 million
Revenue surprise+5.2%

Expand Energy reported strong Q2 2026 results with debt reduction and strategic acquisitions. Analysts maintain a $161 price target following the Twin Eagle merger.

Sources (11)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, the figures don't clearly confirm the prior scenario.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Accurate
Consolidated
+4.5%
Max favorable move (MFE)
5.1%
Max adverse move (MAE)
1%