Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) earnings on July 30, 2026
More Erie Indemnity Company earnings
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate
The stock jumped after markets closed and climbed as much as +5.68% before settling at +3.58%, extending its recent upward trend.
ERIE price around the earnings
242.04
Change: +3.6%
2026-07-31, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
- Results released
The recent trend has been strong after a sell-off, but no analyst coverage and mixed past earnings with a recent miss.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Strong rebound and run-up into earnings after prior sell-off, but no analyst coverage and mixed past earnings.
Analysts
Evidence
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 8.7%
- Revenue growth
- 2.3%
- Forward EPS
- 14.01
- Trailing EPS
- 10.91
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 0
- Strong buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 1
- Hold
- 0
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
There is no news coverage available for this event.
Technicals
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 247.45
- Average true range (ATR)
- 3.7%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -35.2%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +17.1%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +4.1%
- 30-day relative strength
- +5.7%
- SPY change (30d)
- -1.5%
- Nearest support
- 246.19
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.5%
- Nearest resistance
- 248.56
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0.5%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.59
- Mid: 246.19 (0.5% away, 0.14 ATR, 16 touches)
- Minor: 244.03 (1.4% away, 0.37 ATR, 8 touches)
- Mid: 242.6 (2% away, 0.53 ATR, 12 touches)
- Mid: 248.56 (0.5% away, 0.12 ATR, 13 touches)
- Mid: 250.04 (1.1% away, 0.28 ATR, 10 touches)
- Mid: 251.57 (1.7% away, 0.45 ATR, 14 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +16.5%
- April 23, 2026: actual EPS 2.9 vs estimate 3.06 (surprise -5.3%)
- February 23, 2026: actual EPS 2.76 vs estimate 1.59 (surprise +73.7%)
- October 30, 2025: actual EPS 3.49 vs estimate 3.37 (surprise +3.5%)
- August 7, 2025: actual EPS 3.35 vs estimate 3.55 (surprise -5.7%)
Expected move
- Implied move
- +2.7%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 4.4%
- 75th percentile move
- 6.3%
- 90th percentile move
- 9.1%
- Up / down moves
- 9 / 11
- Average up move
- +4.6%
- Average down move
- -4.4%
Monitoring and close
What Erie Indemnity Company reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 3.45 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 3.35 |
| EPS surprise | +3.0% |
| Revenue | $1,090 million |
| Revenue estimate | $1,089 million |
| Revenue surprise | +0.1% |
Erie Indemnity reported Q2 earnings of $3.45 per share, beating the $3.35 estimate, and revenue of $1.090B, above forecasts. Results were optimistic.
Sources (4)
- Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- Erie Indemnity reported Q2 earnings of $3.45 per share, beating the $3.35 estimate, and revenue of $1.090B, above the $1.089B forecast. — Benzinga
- Erie Indemnity Q2 EPS $3.45 Beats $3.35 Estimate, Sales $1.090B Beat $1.089B Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Erie Indemnity Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo
Pre-market second reading after the results
- Verdict
- Beat expectations
Heading into the open, results beat expectations on both earnings and revenue. The figures confirm the optimistic scenario. Based on the figures alone (no pre-open price): across our market history, in the 7,983 similar cases the close followed that direction 57% of the time.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- +3.6%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 5.7%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 0.6%