Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) earnings on June 25, 2026
More Darden Restaurants, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
The restaurant company posted quarterly results that beat expectations, though its annual outlook for 2027 fell short of what analysts expected. The stock dropped early but rebounded to end the day slightly higher.
DRI price around the earnings
213.72
Change: +0.5%
2026-06-26, 22:39 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
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- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Guidance miss triggers sharp price drop below support.
Despite beating earnings expectations for the latest quarter, the company's forecast for fiscal year 2027 fell short of what analysts outlined. This led to a significant drop in its stock price, breaking through a key support level.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Guidance miss triggers sharp price drop below support.
- Playbook
- The stock experienced strong positive momentum leading up to its earnings report. However, a weaker-than-expected future earnings forecast caused the price to fall sharply, moving from resistance to breaking key support levels.
- Trend
- Momentum reversed sharply after guidance miss.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Analysts currently maintain a favorable view, with a majority rating the stock as a buy and setting a price target above the current market review level. However, this target may need revision following the recent guidance update.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.97
- Analysts covering the stock
- 25
- Average price target
- 227.08
- Lowest price target
- 156
- Highest price target
- 276
- Upside to price target
- 7.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -5.1%
- Revenue growth
- 5.9%
- Forward EPS
- 12.53
- Trailing EPS
- 9.5
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 7
- Strong buy: 3
- Buy: 14
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 3
- Buy
- 14
- Hold
- 11
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 1
- June 24, 2026 · Guggenheim: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- June 23, 2026 · Evercore ISI Group: Downgrades rating (Outperform → In-Line)
- June 18, 2026 · Oppenheimer: Reiterates rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- June 18, 2026 · Stephens & Co.: Reiterates rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- June 15, 2026 · Citigroup: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- June 5, 2026 · B of A Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- May 27, 2026 · Keybanc: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
The company's forecast for fiscal year 2027 was below analyst expectations, creating a negative sentiment. This overshadowed the positive results from the latest quarterly earnings.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (8)
- Darden Restaurants Reports Q4 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript — Benzinga
- Olive Garden Owner Darden's Underwhelming Profit Outlook Damps Strong Quarter — Benzinga
- Darden Restaurants Sees FY2027 GAAP EPS $11.10-$11.35 vs $11.37 Est; Sees Sales $13.600B-$13.750B vs $13.718B Est — Benzinga
- Darden Restaurants Q4 Adj. EPS $3.66 Beats $3.63 Estimate, Sales $3.719B Miss $3.728B Estimate — Benzinga
- TD Synnex, Micron And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday — Benzinga
- Darden Q4 Preview: Inflation Gauge? Expert Says Olive Garden Parent ‘Great Barometer On The Middle-Income Consumer’ — Benzinga
- Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Darden Restaurants, Raises Price Target to $235 — Benzinga
- Evercore ISI Group Downgrades Darden Restaurants to In-Line, Maintains Price Target to $230 — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock price fell significantly after the guidance announcement, breaking below a previously established support level. This indicates a potential shift in the stock's price structure.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.7%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -2.5%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +7.7%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +9.0%
- 30-day relative strength
- +9.0%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 212.65
- Nearest resistance
- 214.1
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.33
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -0.5%
- June 25, 2026: actual EPS 3.66 vs estimate 3.64 (surprise +0.6%)
- March 19, 2026: actual EPS 2.95 vs estimate 2.94 (surprise +0.3%)
- December 18, 2025: actual EPS 2.08 vs estimate 2.1 (surprise -0.8%)
- September 18, 2025: actual EPS 1.97 vs estimate 2.01 (surprise -2.0%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Negative
Historically, the company has a mixed record of earnings surprises, beating expectations only half the time. This inconsistency supports the concerns raised before the earnings report.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 2.6%
- 75th percentile move
- 6%
- 90th percentile move
- 7.8%
- Up / down moves
- 10 / 9
- Average up move
- +4.3%
- Average down move
- -3.5%
Monitoring and close
What Darden Restaurants, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Consolidated
- +0.6%
- Max move
- -1.9%
No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.