Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) earnings on May 28, 2026

After the market closes Q1 2026

More Costco Wholesale Corporation earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

COST stock dropped significantly after its earnings report, despite an initial small gain. The market reacted negatively, pushing the price down.

COST price around the earnings

958.09

Change: -3.7%

2026-05-30, 00:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
945.59 964.04 982.48 1000.93 995.20
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)
May 28, 2026 May 29, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published

Analysts positive, but recent surge raises caution.

Analysts are confident, with most rating the stock a buy and the scenario tending to be optimistic. However, the stock has recently surged, increasing the risk of a 'sell the news' event after the earnings report.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Analysts are optimistic, but the recent surge introduces a more cautious scenario.
Reasoning
Analysts are confident, with most rating the stock a buy. However, the stock has recently surged, increasing the risk of a 'sell the news' event after the earnings report.
Playbook
The scenario points to a recent price surge and the potential for a short-term pullback after the earnings announcement. Analyst ratings and price targets are key factors for shifts in sentiment.
Trend
Sharp run-up into earnings, risk of sell-the-news.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Positive

    Analysts have a strong buy rating. The scenario is optimistic for future performance. Analysts point to an optimistic scenario for price movement.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
1.97
Analysts covering the stock
32
Average price target
1,076.97
Lowest price target
650
Highest price target
1,315
Upside to price target
7.3%
Quarterly earnings growth
45.6%
Revenue growth
21.5%
Forward EPS
22.54
Trailing EPS
19.27
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
6
  • Strong buy: 3
  • Buy: 19
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 2
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
3
Buy
19
Hold
12
Sell
2
Strong sell
0
  • May 20, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • May 19, 2026 · Oppenheimer: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
  • April 10, 2026 · DA Davidson: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • April 9, 2026 · Telsey Advisory Group: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
  • April 9, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
  • March 31, 2026 · Telsey Advisory Group: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Neutral

    Current news focuses on the upcoming earnings report. There are no strong contexts yet to indicate a clear direction for the stock price.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (6)
  • Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Futures Decline As US And Iran Exchange Strikes— Snowfalke, Salesforce, Costco In Focus — Benzinga
  • Costco Gears Up For Q3 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts — Benzinga
  • Best Buy, Snowflake And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday — Benzinga
  • Costco Q3 Preview: Stock Could Hit $1,200 Or Fall To $960, Market Expert Says 'Prudent To Wait This One Out' — Benzinga
  • Why Costco Stock Is Dipping On Tuesday? — Benzinga
  • Top 4 S&P 500 Stocks To Watch Next Week: CRM, MRVL, COST, DELL — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Neutral

    The stock's recent price movement shows moderate gains. It is currently market review near a price level that has previously acted as resistance.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
2.3%
Distance to 52-week high
-8.5%
14-day change (14d)
+0.8%
30-day change (30d)
+3.0%
30-day relative strength
+3.0%
Benchmark change (0d)
+0.0%
Nearest support
1,002.41
Nearest resistance
1,007.38
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
4.47

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+2.0%
  • March 5, 2026: actual EPS 4.58 vs estimate 4.55 (surprise +0.7%)
  • December 11, 2025: actual EPS 4.5 vs estimate 4.28 (surprise +5.2%)
  • September 25, 2025: actual EPS 5.87 vs estimate 5.8 (surprise +1.2%)
  • May 29, 2025: actual EPS 4.28 vs estimate 4.24 (surprise +0.9%)

Expected move

Drivers

  • Past earnings Positive

    The company consistently outperforms expectations, beating past earnings reports. This suggests reliable operational execution.

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
1.8%
75th percentile move
3.9%
90th percentile move
6.3%
Up / down moves
11 / 8
Average up move
+2.2%
Average down move
-3.3%

Monitoring and close

What Costco Wholesale Corporation reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
-3.9%
Max favorable move (MFE)
1%
Max adverse move (MAE)
5%