AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) earnings on July 22, 2026
More AvalonBay Communities, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed
The stock closed slightly higher, recovering from being down 0.34% earlier in the day. Despite concerns about the company's history of missing expectations, buyers stepped in to push the price up.
AVB price around the earnings
190.80
Change: +0.3%
2026-07-23, 20:00 UTC
Start of the measured window
End of the measured window
185.22
187.84
190.47
193.09
190.27
July 22, 2026
July 22, 2026
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Missed
- Thesis published
0% beat rate with -8% avg surprise contradicts strong +7.55% trend strength into AMC event.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Persistent negative trajectory into earnings, confirming pessimistic setup despite some positive trend strength.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Hold
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.55
- Analysts covering the stock
- 18
- Average price target
- 201.44
- Lowest price target
- 189
- Highest price target
- 221
- Upside to price target
- 6.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 37.7%
- Revenue growth
- 2.5%
- Forward EPS
- 4.87
- Trailing EPS
- 8.06
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 5
- Strong buy: 1
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 1
- Buy
- 4
- Hold
- 15
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- July 21, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- July 14, 2026 · Barclays: Downgrades rating (Overweight → Equal-Weight)
- July 9, 2026 · Scotiabank: Maintains rating (Sector Perform → Sector Perform)
- June 16, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- May 29, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (3)
- Piper Sandler Maintains Neutral on AvalonBay Communities, Raises Price Target to $210 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Barclays Downgrades AvalonBay Communities to Equal-Weight, Raises Price Target to $205 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Scotiabank Maintains Sector Perform on AvalonBay Communities, Raises Price Target to $195 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 1.8%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -3.5%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -2.4%
- 30-day change (33d)
- +7.5%
- 30-day relative strength
- +7.4%
- SPY change (33d)
- +0.2%
- Nearest support
- 190.18
- Nearest resistance
- 191.47
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.71
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -8.0%
- April 27, 2026: actual EPS 1.04 vs estimate 1.17 (surprise -10.6%)
- February 4, 2026: actual EPS 1.16 vs estimate 1.24 (surprise -6.3%)
- October 29, 2025: actual EPS 1.4 vs estimate 1.49 (surprise -6.0%)
- July 30, 2025: actual EPS 1.18 vs estimate 1.3 (surprise -9.2%)
Expected move
- Implied move
- +1.4%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 1.2%
- 75th percentile move
- 3.9%
- 90th percentile move
- 5%
- Up / down moves
- 8 / 12
- Average up move
- +3.2%
- Average down move
- -1.4%
Monitoring and close
What AvalonBay Communities, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Missed
- Consolidated
- +0.3%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 0.3%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 1.4%