AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) earnings on May 26, 2026
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
AutoZone's stock dropped sharply despite slightly better-than-expected earnings and sales. The shares fell significantly after the company released its latest quarterly results.
AZO price around the earnings
3092.00
Change: -9.2%
2026-05-27, 00:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
Mixed contexts: earnings beat, but price and past performance are weak.
Although the company recently beat earnings and sales expectations, its stock has been declining. Analysts still see potential upside, but past performance shows a tendency to miss earnings targets, creating uncertainty.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- El escenario es optimista, pero el crecimiento de ganancias y el historial son débiles.
- Reasoning
- Los analistas citan un escenario optimista, pero esto se ve contrarrestado por un crecimiento negativo de las ganancias y un historial de bajo rendimiento. Las tendencias recientes del precio también muestran debilidad.
- Playbook
- Mientras los analistas citan un escenario optimista, el historial de ganancias débil y las tendencias negativas del precio sugieren cautela. Puede ser mejor esperar indicadores de rendimiento más sólidos antes de considerar una inversión.
- Trend
- Tendencia negativa fluctuante de cara a resultados; el escenario optimista choca con un historial débil.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Positive
Analysts cite a price target about 25.6% above the current price, with an average buy rating.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.58
- Analysts covering the stock
- 23
- Average price target
- 4,204.74
- Lowest price target
- 3,000
- Highest price target
- 4,800
- Upside to price target
- 25.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -3.9%
- Revenue growth
- 8.2%
- Forward EPS
- 175.12
- Trailing EPS
- 142.59
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 0
- Strong buy: 4
- Buy: 17
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 4
- Buy
- 17
- Hold
- 4
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 1
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Neutral
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
There is no news coverage available for this event.
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The asset's price trend is weak, showing losses over the last 14 and 30 days.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.9%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -23.7%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -5.0%
- 30-day change (30d)
- -1.3%
- 30-day relative strength
- -1.3%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 3,316.94
- Nearest resistance
- 3,370.04
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.23
Trends
Drivers
-
Macro & trends
Neutral
General news discusses market trends like AI and investor activity, but provides no specific insights for this company.
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- -2.8%
- March 3, 2026: actual EPS 27.63 vs estimate 27.29 (surprise +1.2%)
- December 9, 2025: actual EPS 31.04 vs estimate 32.35 (surprise -4.0%)
- September 23, 2025: actual EPS 48.71 vs estimate 50.72 (surprise -4.0%)
- May 27, 2025: actual EPS 35.36 vs estimate 37.01 (surprise -4.5%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Negative
The company has a low track record of beating earnings expectations, with an average negative surprise.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 3.3%
- 75th percentile move
- 4.4%
- 90th percentile move
- 6.6%
- Up / down moves
- 9 / 10
- Average up move
- +2.9%
- Average down move
- -3.5%
Monitoring and close
What AutoZone, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -9.0%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 11.9%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 0%