ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) earnings on July 15, 2026
More ASML Holding N.V. earnings
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
Volatly's outlook before the earnings on July 15, 2026: No statistical edge.
ASML price around the earnings
There is no candle series available for this event.
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Q3 guidance raised full-year outlook pre-market; 75% beat rate and strong analyst consensus offset by weakening 14d trend strength.
Context analyzed before publication
- Trend
- Trajectory declined from 42.2 to ~28 over 7 days; 14d trend strength turning negative while 30d strong positive — deterioratin
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Strong buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.43
- Analysts covering the stock
- 15
- Average price target
- 1,902.09
- Lowest price target
- 883.86
- Highest price target
- 2,619.7
- Upside to price target
- 7.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 17.1%
- Revenue growth
- 13.2%
- Forward EPS
- 50.11
- Trailing EPS
- 30.36
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 5
- Strong buy: 6
- Buy: 33
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 6
- Buy
- 33
- Hold
- 3
- Sell
- 1
- Strong sell
- 1
- July 14, 2026 · RBC Capital: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- July 6, 2026 · Bernstein: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- June 22, 2026 · B of A Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- June 22, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- June 3, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (8)
- Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Gain as Trump Vows 'Very Hard' Strikes on Iran—Pentair, ASML Holding, Intel in Focus — Benzinga
- Morgan Stanley, Johnson & Johnson And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Wednesday — Benzinga
- ASML And Intel Achieve New High NA EUV Readiness Milestone With First High-Volume Logic Product On Intel 18A Node — Benzinga
- ASML Guides Q3 Net Sales Between €11.0B And €12.0B With Gross Margin Between 55% And 57%, Raises Full-Year Net Sales Outlook To €43B-€45B With Gross Margin Between 54% And 56% — Benzinga
- ASML Holding Q2 EPS $8.82 Beats $7.98 Estimate, Sales $10.841B Beat $10.280B Estimate — Benzinga
- ASML Could Swing 7.5% After Earnings on Wednesday — Benzinga
- RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on ASML Holding, Raises Price Target to $2000 — Benzinga
- TSMC Could Swing $150 Billion as Options Market Prices Big Moves for This Week’s Earnings — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 4.9%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -10.8%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -0.1%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +10.1%
- 30-day relative strength
- +10.1%
- Benchmark change (0d)
- +0.0%
- Nearest support
- 1,767.81
- Nearest resistance
- 1,777.35
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 1.48
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +4.9%
- April 14, 2026: actual EPS 7.15 vs estimate 6.62 (surprise +8.0%)
- January 27, 2026: actual EPS 7.34 vs estimate 7.55 (surprise -2.7%)
- October 15, 2025: actual EPS 5.49 vs estimate 5.37 (surprise +2.1%)
- July 16, 2025: actual EPS 5.9 vs estimate 5.25 (surprise +12.4%)
Expected move
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 4.2%
- 75th percentile move
- 6.8%
- 90th percentile move
- 8.5%
- Up / down moves
- 7 / 12
- Average up move
- +4.3%
- Average down move
- -5.4%
Monitoring and close
What ASML Holding N.V. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.