American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) earnings on July 30, 2026
More American Electric Power Company, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
American Electric Power raised its 2026 profit forecast and noted strong demand from big tech companies, but the stock still closed lower despite these positives.
AEP price around the earnings
127.78
Change: -1.3%
2026-07-30, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
- Results released
Setup is mixed heading into earnings, but the scenario points pessimistic.
Analyst upside and strong beat history, but recent negative trend strength and mixed analyst actions create headwinds.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Setup is mixed heading into earnings, but the scenario points pessimistic.
- Trend
- Recent price action shows consistent 14-day weakness and negative trend strength, indicating a weakening scenario into earnings.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 2.08
- Analysts covering the stock
- 21
- Average price target
- 145.67
- Lowest price target
- 133
- Highest price target
- 173
- Upside to price target
- 12.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 9.3%
- Revenue growth
- 10.2%
- Forward EPS
- 6.85
- Trailing EPS
- 6.57
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 6
- Strong buy: 2
- Buy: 10
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 2
- Buy
- 10
- Hold
- 12
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
- July 22, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- July 22, 2026 · BMO Capital: Maintains rating (Market Perform → Market Perform)
- July 17, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- July 16, 2026 · Goldman Sachs: Downgrades rating (Buy → Neutral)
- July 13, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- June 18, 2026 · Ladenburg Thalmann: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (5)
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on American Electric Power, Raises Price Target to $139 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- BMO Capital Maintains Market Perform on American Electric Power, Lowers Price Target to $139 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Truist Securities Maintains Buy on American Electric Power, Raises Price Target to $146 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Goldman Sachs Downgrades American Electric Power to Neutral, Maintains Price Target to $147 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on American Electric Power, Raises Price Target to $138 (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
Technicals
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 129.67
- Average true range (ATR)
- 2.1%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -6.7%
- 14-day change (14d)
- -2.1%
- 30-day change (30d)
- -6.0%
- 30-day relative strength
- +2.6%
- QQQ change (30d)
- -8.6%
- Nearest support
- 129
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.5%
- Nearest resistance
- 130.05
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0.3%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.71
- Minor: 129 (0.5% away, 0.25 ATR, 7 touches)
- Mid: 128.34 (1% away, 0.49 ATR, 13 touches)
- Mid: 127.74 (1.5% away, 0.72 ATR, 15 touches)
- Major: 130.05 (0.3% away, 0.14 ATR, 31 touches)
- Mid: 131.38 (1.3% away, 0.63 ATR, 17 touches)
- Major: 132.01 (1.8% away, 0.87 ATR, 27 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +5.2%
- May 5, 2026: actual EPS 1.64 vs estimate 1.57 (surprise +4.6%)
- February 12, 2026: actual EPS 1.19 vs estimate 1.15 (surprise +3.6%)
- October 29, 2025: actual EPS 1.8 vs estimate 1.81 (surprise -0.3%)
- July 30, 2025: actual EPS 1.43 vs estimate 1.27 (surprise +12.8%)
Expected move
- Implied move
- +1.3%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 1.5%
- 75th percentile move
- 3.5%
- 90th percentile move
- 4%
- Up / down moves
- 12 / 8
- Average up move
- +2.5%
- Average down move
- -1.2%
Monitoring and close
What American Electric Power Company, Inc. reported
- Status
- Finished
| Actual EPS | 1.36 |
|---|---|
| EPS estimate | 1.5 |
| EPS surprise | -9.3% |
| Revenue | $5,445 million |
| Revenue estimate | $5,341 million |
| Revenue surprise | +1.9% |
AEP held Q2 2026 earnings call on July 30. Chairman William Fehrman and executives discussed the mixed results. Transcript now available.
Sources (13)
- American Electric Power Says Demand From Hyperscalers Remains 'Exceptionally Strong' (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- American Electric's Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- American Electric Power Q2 Earnings Call Highlights (opens in a new tab) — MarketBeat
- American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (opens in a new tab) — SeekingAlpha
- Compared to Estimates, AEP (AEP) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- American Electric Power (AEP) Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates (opens in a new tab) — Zacks
- American Electric Power (NASDAQ:AEP) Misses Q2 EPS Estimates but Raises Full-Year Guidance (opens in a new tab) — ChartMill
- American Electric Power Raises FY2026 GAAP EPS Guidance from $6.12-$6.42 to $6.16-$6.46 vs $6.37 Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- American Electric Power Raises FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance from $6.15-$6.45 to $6.25-$6.55 vs $6.35 Est (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- American Electric Power posted adjusted earnings of $1.36 per share, missing the $1.50 estimate, but revenue of $5.445B beat the $5.341B forecast. — Benzinga
- American Electric Power Q2 Adj. EPS $1.36 Misses $1.50 Estimate, Sales $5.445B Beat $5.341B Estimate (opens in a new tab) — Benzinga
- AEP Reports Second-Quarter 2026 Earnings, Raises Full-Year Guidance (opens in a new tab) — Yahoo
- American Electric Power Company, Inc. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (opens in a new tab) — SeekingAlpha
Pre-market second reading after the results
- Verdict
- Missed expectations
Heading into the open, results beat expectations on revenue but not on earnings and the price is indicating +0.0% pre-market, a move below the stock's usual reaction (about 2%). The figures don't confirm the prior scenario: that move is too small to draw conclusions from.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -1.3%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 1.6%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 2.8%